FC St. Gallen vs Lausanne Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC St. Gallen 1-0 Lausanne.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% FC St. Gallen, 25% draw, 19% Lausanne — fair odds of 1.79, 4.00 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC St. Gallen at 56% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC St. Gallen vs Lausanne
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1L. ZigiG
- 26T. GaalD
- 4J. StanićD
- 68M. HeydariD
- 64M. StevanovicM
- 7C. WitzigM
- 16L. GörtlerM
- 10L. DaschnerM
- 28H. VandermerschM
- 9A. HunzikerF
- 14A. BaldeF
- 27K. CsobothM
- 11C. BoukhalfaM
- 23B. FazlijiM
- 20L. FrokajM
- 6B. NeziriM
- 47E. OwusuM
- 74J. RuizD
- 70N. ScherrerF
- 25L. WatkowiakG
- 90M. MastilG
- 4É. YoutéD
- 31N. CozzaD
- 5D. NgonzoD
- 2B. SoppyM
- 29A. BlinM
- 91F. MolletM
- 18M. PoatyM
- 11N. Butler-OyedejiF
- 7A. AjdiniF
- 77L. NeneF
- 51I. Bah Mendes MayalaF
- 1T. CastellaG
- 78Omar JannehF
- 9E. MolébéF
- 45Guillem Moreno ViñasD
- 47Papa Souleymane N'DiayeM
- 59Oscar RenovalesF
- 17S. TraoreF
- 10O. CustodioM
Form going into FC St. Gallen vs Lausanne
FC St. Gallen
- W3-1away to FC Basel 189320 September 2026
- L1-4away to FC Lugano16 September 2026
- L0-3FC Sion12 September 2026
- W2-0away to Servette FC6 September 2026
Lausanne
- L0-4FC Lugano20 September 2026
- L0-1Servette FC13 September 2026
- L1-3away to FC Vaduz5 September 2026
- D0-0away to FC Thun2 September 2026
What these results say
- FC St. Gallen scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC St. Gallen conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for FC St. Gallen had three goals or more.
- Lausanne did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Lausanne failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Lausanne conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC St. Gallen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Lausanne | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC St. Gallen vs Lausanne
- 11 October 2026FC St. Gallen 1–0 LausanneSuper League
- 8 February 2026Lausanne 1–1 FC St. GallenSuper League
- 23 November 2025FC St. Gallen 1–0 LausanneSuper League
- 31 August 2025Lausanne 1–2 FC St. GallenSuper League
- 15 March 2025FC St. Gallen 0–2 LausanneSuper League
- 26 January 2025FC St. Gallen 3–2 LausanneSuper League
Leading scorers: FC St. Gallen and Lausanne
FC St. Gallen
GoalsAssists
- A. Balde31
Lausanne
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.