11 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo Super Liga prediction & result

Zemun Stadium, Belgrade
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Zemun 0-3 Železničar Pančevo.

Before kick-off the model made it 22% Zemun, 27% draw, 51% Železničar Pančevo — fair odds of 4.55, 3.70 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Železničar Pančevo at 51% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Zemun0%Draw1%Železničar Pančevo99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Marko Saric
34'
45'
⚽Simão Pedroassist: Uros Tegeltija
45'
🔁Clement lhernaultout: Nikola jovanovic
56'
⚽Srđan Plavšićassist: Simão Pedro
58'
🔁Simão Pedroout: Aleksa Kuljanin
58'
🔁kristian sekularacout: Davorin Tošić
🔁Dimitrije Tabakovićout: nemanja kalat
62'
🔁Marko Saricout: novak petrusic
63'
🔁Godswill Vadzeout: nemanja belakovic
63'
🔁Ognjen Ilicout: Đorđe Petrović
70'
73'
⚽David Akpan Ankeye
🔁Milan Jokićout: Andrej Milosevic
74'
76'
🔁David Akpan Ankeyeout: Milos Pantovic
79'
🔁Srđan Plavšićout: Leonardo Agostinho Angueira De Camargo
83'
Davorin Tošić

Match stats — Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo

40%Possession60%
6Shots18
3On target9
2Corners3
0.89xG2.97

Goals against chances

Zemun0 from 0.89 xGless than the chances were worth
Železničar Pančevo3 from 2.97 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Zemun 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. KneževićG
  • 11S. KnezevicD
  • 21I. OstojićD
  • 66V. BakićD
  • 88A. KadijevićD
  • 8O. IlićM
  • 23M. JokićM
  • 7Dimitrije TabakovićM
  • 19G. VadzeM
  • 14N. DovedanM
  • 45M. ŠarićF
Substitutes
  • 15O. StoimenovskiD
  • 9N. PetrusicF
  • 25D. ParađinaD
  • 29A. MilosevicD
  • 27U. LjubomiracM
  • 31N. KalatM
  • 99M. DubljanićG
  • 10N. BelakovićF
  • 20D. PetrovicM
Coach: Gjorgji Mojsov
Železničar Pančevo 4-1-4-1
  • 1Z. PopovićG
  • 19U. TegeltijaD
  • 6M. MilikićD
  • 5N. VidojevićD
  • 33N. ĐuričićD
  • 20J. JevremovićM
  • 95S. PlavšićM
  • 88C. LhernaultM
  • 77K. ŠekularacM
  • 10S. PedroM
  • 21D. AnkeyeF
Substitutes
  • 7M. ĆurićM
  • 12A. YusifD
  • 11N. JovanovićF
  • 17A. KuljaninF
  • 66J. MiladinovićG
  • 63S. ObradovićD
  • 27M. PantovićM
  • 47Yassin SbaiF
  • 26M. Amadou SaboM
Coach: R. Koković

Form going into Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo

Zemun

  • D2-2away to Novi Pazar19 September 2026
  • D1-1Radnik Surdulica14 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Vojvodina6 September 2026
  • L0-2FK Crvena Zvezda30 August 2026

Železničar Pančevo

  • W2-1Cukaricki20 September 2026
  • L1-2FK Crvena Zvezda17 September 2026
  • W2-0Macva11 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Novi Pazar4 September 2026

What these results say

  • Zemun did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Zemun conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Zemun scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Železničar Pančevo scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Železničar Pančevo conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Zemun11038622-163
4Železničar Pančevo105231710+717

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo

  • 11 October 2026Zemun 0–3 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
  • 24 June 2026Železničar Pančevo 3–3 ZemunFriendlies Clubs
  • 13 March 2021Zemun 0–2 Železničar PančevoPrva Liga
  • 4 September 2020Železničar Pančevo 2–0 ZemunPrva Liga

Leading scorers: Zemun and Železničar Pančevo

Zemun

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.

Železničar Pančevo

GoalsAssists

  • K. Kwaku42
  • S. Pedro24

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.