Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Podbrezová 1-3 Spartak Trnava.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Podbrezová, 27% draw, 41% Spartak Trnava — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Slovak Super Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Spartak Trnava at 41% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava
Line-ups
- 70L. DomaniskyG
- 37J. LukaD
- 20J. KrivakD
- 5R. LamprehtD
- 77P. KovacikM
- 26S. StefanikM
- 15R. ParajM
- 8O. DemlM
- 14M. KhyminetsF
- 9M. ChrienF
- 22F. MomohF
- 41I. Rehak
- 25R. KejvalD
- 19S. SaidyD
- 66M. RusnakM
- 13V. ChylaM
- 11B. MrvaljevicF
- 7L. SilagadzeM
- 27K. MiljanicF
- 72M. VantrubaG
- 24K. KostrnaD
- 52E. SaboD
- 13M. UjlakyD
- 3J. CarrionD
- 8G. MoistsrapishviliM
- 91M. LausicM
- 11P. AzangoM
- 30L. KhorkheliM
- 20F. TrelloM
- 19T. KudlickaF
- 40T. JablonickyG
- 21L. FabisD
- 4L. HolikD
- 2P. NwadikeD
- 6R. ProchazkaM
- 5R. BegalaM
- 22D. BukovskyM
- 97D. PoltakF
- 17L. MehmetiM
Form going into Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava
Podbrezová
- W1-0away to Skalica20 September 2026
- D1-1Komárno13 September 2026
- L1-3away to Žilina5 September 2026
- D2-2FK Košice29 August 2026
Spartak Trnava
- D2-2away to Dunajska Streda20 September 2026
- W5-2FK Košice12 September 2026
- D1-1away to Ružomberok6 September 2026
- L1-3Žilina30 August 2026
What these results say
- Podbrezová scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Podbrezová failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Podbrezová conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Spartak Trnava scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Spartak Trnava conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Spartak Trnava.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Podbrezová | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 14 |
| 2 | Spartak Trnava | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | +13 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava
- 11 October 2026Podbrezová 1–3 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
- 3 May 2026Podbrezová 0–3 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
- 5 April 2026Spartak Trnava 4–1 PodbrezováSuper Liga
- 3 March 2026Podbrezová 4–1 Spartak TrnavaCup
- 21 February 2026Spartak Trnava 0–5 PodbrezováSuper Liga
- 3 December 2025Podbrezová 1–3 Spartak TrnavaSuper Liga
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.