Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: Vendsyssel FF 0-2 HB Koge.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Vendsyssel FF, 28% draw, 28% HB Koge — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All 1. Division (Denmark) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vendsyssel FF at 44% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1L. Schulz
- 23A. Olsen
- 21B. Clemmensen
- 4B. Konteh
- 73M. Lauritsen
- 30A. N. Atlason
- 8S. Michael
- 15H. Tangen
- 19E. Pedersen
- 12A. C. Vendelbo
- 9L. Steffensen
- 16M. Nielsen
- 27J. Sommer
- 14F. Mortensen
- 18M. Holt
- 31A. Rise
- 22P. Williams
- 10S. Simpson
- 17S. Lodberg
- 5S. Roma
- 1N. Sommergaard
- 23M. Westergren
- 22M. Jakobsen
- 2L. Bust
- 4S. Hald
- 28G. Larsen
- 7M. Jensen
- 6R. Brodersen
- 25F. Isaki
- 9T. Thomsen
- 11M. Warming
- 16C. Mols
- 5G. Culhaci
- 14V. Sorensen
- 8M. Romer
- 21N. Jakobsen
- 34W. Palm
- 10C. Jensen Tue
- 27N. Stolshoj
Form going into Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge
Vendsyssel FF
- D2-2away to Aalborg20 September 2026
- D0-0Aarhus Fremad11 September 2026
- L1-4away to Vejle4 September 2026
- W2-0away to Esbjerg30 August 2026
HB Koge
- W5-2Hobro21 September 2026
- D2-2away to Esbjerg12 September 2026
- D1-1Hillerød4 September 2026
- D0-0away to Aalborg29 August 2026
What these results say
- Vendsyssel FF failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Vendsyssel FF scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- HB Koge went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- HB Koge failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- HB Koge scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Vendsyssel FF | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | HB Koge | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge
- 11 October 2026Vendsyssel FF 0–2 HB Koge1. Division
- 10 May 2025Vendsyssel FF 0–1 HB Koge1. Division
- 4 April 2025HB Koge 0–0 Vendsyssel FF1. Division
- 2 November 2024Vendsyssel FF 1–1 HB Koge1. Division
- 20 September 2024HB Koge 0–2 Vendsyssel FF1. Division
- 26 November 2023Vendsyssel FF 2–0 HB Koge1. Division
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.