10 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol 1. Division prediction & result

Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Referee: Konstantinos Fotiou
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Krasava Ypsonas 1-3 Apollon Limassol.

Before kick-off the model made it 26% Krasava Ypsonas, 27% draw, 47% Apollon Limassol — fair odds of 3.85, 3.70 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Apollon Limassol at 47% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Krasava Ypsonas0%Draw3%Apollon Limassol97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

33'
Emanuel Aiwu
38'
⚽Gustavo Assunção
⚽Luiyi de Lucas
42'
46'
🔁Brandon Thomasout: Alen Ožbolt
46'
🔁Emanuel Aiwuout: Bruno Gaspar
Kevin Luckassen
46'
🔁Yassine Bahassaout: Marco Camús
57'
🔁Kevin Luckassenout: Evgen Budnik
57'
64'
Gustavo Assunção
🔁Vasilios Papafotisout: Michalis Panagidis
69'
73'
🔁Morgan Brownout: Ivan Ljubić
73'
🔁Gaetan Weissbeckout: Dani Escriche
Luiyi de Lucas
74'
80'
⚽Bruno Gaspar
🔁Rubén Pardoout: Xavier Quintilla
85'
Tabekou Ouambé
88'
Bismark Boateng
90+3'
90+4'
⚽Garry Rodrigues

Line-ups

Krasava Ypsonas
  • 25A. ChristodoulouG
  • 13Tabekou OuambéF
  • 14Rubén PardoM
  • 10V. PapafotisM
  • 77G. KiakosD
  • 30F. KatelarisM
  • 3L. de LucasD
  • 29Issam ChebakeD
  • 42K. LuckassenF
  • 19N. BoatengM
  • 28Yassine BahassaF
Substitutes
  • 22P. AngeliM
  • 33K. VenizelouD
  • 93A. RichterG
  • 75Y. AvramenkoG
  • 9E. BudnikF
  • 80Marco CamusF
  • 8N. DosisM
  • 12Andreas GeorgiouM
  • 21D. KeitaF
Coach: Marios Neophytou
Apollon Limassol
  • 22P. KühnG
  • 4E. AiwuD
  • 29J. AsoroF
  • 12Gustavo AssunçãoM
  • 5M. BrownM
  • 37L. KonomisM
  • 44J. KvídaD
  • 14G. MalekkidesD
  • 10Garry RodriguesF
  • 23Brandon ThomasF
  • 27G. WeissbeckM
Substitutes
  • 99I. UgboF
  • 31K. StylianouG
  • 26A. ShikkisD
  • 9A. OžboltF
  • 77I. LjubicD
  • 76Bruno GasparD
  • 30Dani EscricheF
  • 38K. BalogiannisD
  • 19Nearchos zinonosD
Coach: H. Losada

Form going into Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol

Krasava Ypsonas

  • L1-4away to Omonia Nicosia20 September 2026
  • L0-1Aris14 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Omonia Aradippou5 September 2026
  • L0-3Omonia 29is Maiou28 August 2026

Apollon Limassol

  • D2-2Apoel Nicosia19 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Omonia Nicosia12 September 2026
  • W3-1Anorthosis5 September 2026
  • D2-2away to Aris29 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Krasava Ypsonas5005313-100
5Apollon Limassol5230106+49

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Krasava Ypsonas vs Apollon Limassol

  • 21 December 2025Krasava Ypsonas 0–1 Apollon Limassol1. Division
  • 29 August 2025Apollon Limassol 0–3 Krasava Ypsonas1. Division
  • 2 August 2025Krasava Ypsonas 2–2 Apollon LimassolFriendlies Clubs
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.