Apoel Nicosia vs Nea Salamis 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: Apoel Nicosia 2-1 Nea Salamis.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Apoel Nicosia, 22% draw, 23% Nea Salamis — fair odds of 1.82, 4.55 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Cypriot First Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Apoel Nicosia at 55% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 4G. AngelopoulosF
- 27V. BelecG
- 3K. StafylidisD
- 25Joan SastreD
- 15F. PedrozoF
- 18D. LimniosF
- 31F. ĐuričićM
- 8DálcioM
- 16Álvaro CarrilloD
- 72A. BarákM
- 9A. BakasetasM
- 5M. DegenekM
- 32I. AvramidisM
- 11Gabriel MaioliF
- 14Ángel GarcíaM
- 70S. GeorgiouF
- 45Konstantinos giannakouD
- 7D. ManciniM
- 10MarquinhosF
- 99F. PérezM
- 1Alberto VaróG
- 17AldairF
- 4P. ArtymatasD
- 6Georgios ChristodoulouM
- 71G. GerolemouM
- 7S. GrandsirM
- 29F. HaninD
- 25K. IliaM
- 89P. LoukaF
- 5A. MichailD
- 88Jordi QuintillàM
- 8José ArtilesM
- 12A. DimitriouD
- 10C. GiousisF
- 14T. Johnson EbohM
- 93B. KonatéM
- 63D. KovácsG
- 24V. LampropoulosD
- 37B. ManuF
- 30A. Panagiotou FiliotisD
Form going into Apoel Nicosia vs Nea Salamis
Apoel Nicosia
- D2-2away to Apollon Limassol19 September 2026
- L1-2away to Anorthosis12 September 2026
- W6-0AEL6 September 2026
- L1-3away to AEK Larnaca29 August 2026
Nea Salamis
- W3-0Anorthosis19 September 2026
- L1-2away to AEL11 September 2026
- L1-4AEK Larnaca6 September 2026
- D3-3away to Olympiakos28 August 2026
What these results say
- Apoel Nicosia scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Apoel Nicosia had three goals or more.
- Apoel Nicosia failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Nea Salamis scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Nea Salamis had three goals or more.
- Nea Salamis failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Apoel Nicosia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 7 |
| 11 | Nea Salamis | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Apoel Nicosia vs Nea Salamis
- 8 January 2025Nea Salamis 1–1 Apoel Nicosia1. Division
- 22 September 2024Apoel Nicosia 3–1 Nea Salamis1. Division
- 26 January 2024Nea Salamis 0–4 Apoel Nicosia1. Division
- 21 October 2023Apoel Nicosia 1–0 Nea Salamis1. Division
- 6 March 2023Apoel Nicosia 3–0 Nea Salamis1. Division