AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: AEL 2-1 Omonia 29is Maiou.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% AEL, 26% draw, 34% Omonia 29is Maiou — fair odds of 2.50, 3.85 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Cypriot First Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts AEL at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 33E. AntoniouD
- 1S. KapinoG
- 6D. ZdravkovskiM
- 20João TavaresM
- 11L. SinghF
- 23Diogo GomesM
- 30G. PapageorgiouM
- 10R. OudinF
- 22K. NeofytouD
- 77F. MugheF
- 9S. JovetićF
- 4S. DenswilD
- 99G. ChineduF
- 84C. Karamani
- 2A. KaroD
- 70kyriacos kyriacouD
- 98P. KyriakouG
- 74Samy MerzoukG
- 19I. MilosavljevićM
- 17D. ParoutisF
- 45Steve AmbriM
- 44D. ChantakiasM
- 20S. FiakasM
- 10Mike MoraisF
- 22K. NwakaliM
- 15S. PanteliD
- 16Constantinos PattichisM
- 19A. PortalesD
- 30M. SenićD
- 17panyiotis zachariouF
- 98F. UzohoG
- 8C. AristotelousM
- 89D. ČrnigojM
- 77Luís SantosF
- 1Nikos GrammatikakisG
- 4A. KaiafasD
- 43Antonis MavrantonisG
- 46M. SotiriouD
- 11Fergus TierneyM
- 5S. TsoukalasM
Form going into AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou
AEL
- W2-0away to Pafos18 September 2026
- W2-1Nea Salamis11 September 2026
- L0-6away to Apoel Nicosia6 September 2026
- W2-0Anorthosis30 August 2026
Omonia 29is Maiou
- L1-2AEK Larnaca18 September 2026
- D3-3away to Olympiakos13 September 2026
- D2-2Karmiotissa4 September 2026
- W3-0away to Krasava Ypsonas28 August 2026
What these results say
- AEL won 3 of these 4 matches.
- AEL scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Omonia 29is Maiou scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Omonia 29is Maiou had three goals or more.
- Omonia 29is Maiou failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEL | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou
- 11 October 2026AEL 2–1 Omonia 29is Maiou1. Division
- 30 March 2025Omonia 29is Maiou 0–3 AEL1. Division
- 14 December 2024AEL 1–1 Omonia 29is Maiou1. Division
- 24 August 2024Omonia 29is Maiou 2–4 AEL1. Division