Anorthosis vs Pafos 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: Anorthosis 1-3 Pafos.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Anorthosis, 30% draw, 43% Pafos — fair odds of 3.70, 3.33 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Cypriot First Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Pafos at 43% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 20C. AboagyeM
- 44N. TošićD
- 22K. SergiouD
- 28J. KarlstrømG
- 4K. ArtymatasM
- 88A. ChrysostomouM
- 9Alessio Da CruzM
- 45Gabriel FurtadoD
- 5KikoM
- 7T. KissF
- 36Stijn MiddendorpM
- 57E. Charalambous
- 18stephanos charalambousM
- 11B. DioneF
- 70M. IliaF
- 47A. KaramanolisD
- 58K. LytrasD
- 54C. MichallasM
- 1K. PanayiG
- 51S. PanagiG
- 99R. MajeckiG
- 20BielF
- 4David LuizD
- 30V. DragomirM
- 14N. IoannouD
- 18LelêF
- 3S. MmaeeD
- 88Pêpê RodriguesM
- 8Domingos QuinaM
- 26I. ŠunjićM
- 2Yoram\t ZagueD
- 12K. SemaM
- 82P. PetrouG
- 17afonso patraoF
- 71M. PapastylianouG
- 23Jonatás NoroD
- 6GugaM
- 77João CorreiaD
- 50Alexandre Miguel Soares Carvalho BritoM
- 33Anderson SilvaF
Form going into Anorthosis vs Pafos
Anorthosis
- L0-3away to Nea Salamis19 September 2026
- W2-1Apoel Nicosia12 September 2026
- L1-3away to Apollon Limassol5 September 2026
- L0-2away to AEL30 August 2026
Pafos
- L0-2AEL18 September 2026
- W1-0away to AEK Larnaca13 September 2026
- D0-0Olympiakos7 September 2026
- W3-0away to Karmiotissa30 August 2026
What these results say
- Anorthosis conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Anorthosis failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Anorthosis had three goals or more.
- Pafos kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Pafos had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Anorthosis | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 3 |
| 4 | Pafos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Anorthosis vs Pafos
- 11 October 2026Anorthosis 1–3 Pafos1. Division
- 21 February 2026Pafos 0–0 Anorthosis1. Division
- 9 November 2025Anorthosis 1–1 Pafos1. Division
- 2 January 2025Anorthosis 0–2 Pafos1. Division
- 14 September 2024Pafos 3–1 Anorthosis1. Division
- 21 April 2024Pafos 5–1 Anorthosis1. Division