11 October 2026, 13:30 UTC

Ružomberok vs Žilina Super Liga prediction & result

Štadión pod Čebraťom, Ruzomberok
Referee: Lukas Dzivjak, Slovakia
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Ružomberok 2-2 Žilina.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% Ružomberok, 26% draw, 49% Žilina — fair odds of 4.00, 3.85 and 2.04. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Žilina at 49% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ružomberok4%Draw92%Žilina4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
⚽M. Fasko (pen)
16'
⚽A. Narimanidzeassist: F. Bzdyl
25'
A. Narimanidze
⚽A. Selecky (pen)
27'
J. Hladik
29'
D. Kostl
34'
35'
K. Bari
⚽D. Kostkaassist: M. Bacik
41'
46'
🔁M. Faskoout: K. Bilalovic
🔁V. Hranosout: M. Chobot
69'
🔁F. Soucekout: T. Buchvaldek
69'
70'
🔁P. Ilkoout: A. Florea
70'
🔁K. Bariout: M. Traore
🔁J. Hladikout: M. Boda
78'
🔁M. Bacikout: A. Tucny
78'
🔁A. Mojzisout: M. Kelemen
85'
90'
🔁F. Bzdylout: D. Homet Ruiz
D. Kostka
90+1'
90+1'
J. Albin
90+2'
🔁M. Kacerout: X. Adang

Match stats — Ružomberok vs Žilina

54%Possession46%
21Shots9
5On target3
4Corners2
2.37xG1.56

Goals against chances

Ružomberok2 from 2.37 xGabout what the chances were worth
Žilina2 from 1.56 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Ružomberok 3-4-3
  • 1I. KrajcirikG
  • 16D. KostlD
  • 5T. MarusinD
  • 2A. MojzisD
  • 31D. KostkaM
  • 10F. SoucekM
  • 4O. LuteranM
  • 28A. SeleckyM
  • 15M. BacikF
  • 14J. HladikF
  • 19V. HranosF
Substitutes
  • 34D. HuskaG
  • 23D. PrekopD
  • 25D. GrgicM
  • 20M. ChobotM
  • 22T. BuchvaldekM
  • 30M. BodaF
  • 17A. TucnyM
  • 26M. KelemenF
  • 24P. Jevos
Coach: Jaroslav Kostl
Žilina 3-4-3
  • 31D. SiposG
  • 25J. AlbinD
  • 28A. NarimanidzeD
  • 17J. MinarikD
  • 21T. HranicaM
  • 66M. KacerM
  • 11F. BzdylM
  • 20K. BariM
  • 23M. FaskoF
  • 16P. IlkoF
  • 95M. RoginicF
Substitutes
  • 26T. TarcsiG
  • 19M. TraoreD
  • 99K. BilalovicF
  • 10A. FloreaM
  • 6X. AdangM
  • 90D. Homet RuizF
  • 9P. BalejaF
Coach: Vladimir Vesely

Form going into Ružomberok vs Žilina

Ružomberok

  • L0-2away to FK Košice19 September 2026
  • W3-0Zemplín Michalovce12 September 2026
  • D1-1Spartak Trnava6 September 2026
  • L1-2away to AS Trencin29 August 2026

Žilina

  • W2-1AS Trencin19 September 2026
  • D3-3away to Slovan Bratislava13 September 2026
  • W3-1Podbrezová5 September 2026
  • W3-1away to Spartak Trnava30 August 2026

What these results say

  • Ružomberok failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Ružomberok scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Ružomberok conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Žilina went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Žilina scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Žilina conceded in every one of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Ružomberok101361020-106
3Žilina106312519+621

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ružomberok vs Žilina

  • 11 October 2026Ružomberok 2–2 ŽilinaSuper Liga
  • 6 December 2025Žilina 1–2 RužomberokSuper Liga
  • 31 August 2025Ružomberok 3–3 ŽilinaSuper Liga
  • 3 November 2024Ružomberok 1–0 ŽilinaSuper Liga
  • 29 October 2024Žilina 3–1 RužomberokSuper Liga
  • 11 May 2024Ružomberok 1–1 ŽilinaSuper Liga
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.