FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: FK Partizan 1-0 Novi Pazar.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% FK Partizan, 23% draw, 24% Novi Pazar — fair odds of 1.89, 4.35 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts FK Partizan at 53% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. MiloševićG
- 20Samson NwuluD
- 21Sidney LimaD
- 40N. SimićD
- 4M. JurčevičD
- 10I. MiladinovićM
- 14I. BabaM
- 19D. SeckM
- 39Z. IbrahimM
- 8A. ZekovicM
- 9E. KojzekF
- 17M. AleksiÄF
- 90Z. AliloviÄM
- 27N. ČumićF
- 24V. ĐurđevićD
- 89JehF
- 99B. KostićF
- 31M. KrunićG
- 44S. MilićD
- 5M. MilovanovićD
- 1Bogdan MatijaševićG
- 2A. MiljkovićD
- 4Allan De LeónD
- 23J. MarinkovićD
- 14N. StankovicD
- 8Skima TogbeM
- 24I. DavidovićM
- 10D. SadiM
- 6P. GadioM
- 26D. Johnson AgwomM
- 22A. LjajićF
- 11Nikola SkrobonjaM
- 12M. PrekovićG
- 21M. PetrovićM
- 99F. MulićF
- 3V. MirosavićD
- 5S. MelentijevićD
- 9V. KotzebueF
- 18H. KadrićF
- 20K. DixonF
Form going into FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar
FK Partizan
- D4-4away to Radnik Surdulica19 September 2026
- L2-3Vojvodina13 September 2026
- L1-2away to FK Crvena Zvezda6 September 2026
- W3-1OFK Beograd31 August 2026
Novi Pazar
- D2-2Zemun19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Cukaricki12 September 2026
- W2-0Železničar Pančevo4 September 2026
- D1-1Macva29 August 2026
What these results say
- FK Partizan scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- FK Partizan conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for FK Partizan had three goals or more.
- Novi Pazar went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Novi Pazar scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Novi Pazar failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FK Partizan | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Novi Pazar | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar
- 11 October 2026FK Partizan 1–0 Novi PazarSuper Liga
- 2 May 2026FK Partizan 2–1 Novi PazarSuper Liga
- 9 April 2026Novi Pazar 2–3 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- 9 November 2025FK Partizan 2–0 Novi PazarSuper Liga
- 4 May 2025Novi Pazar 2–1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- 8 March 2025FK Partizan 3–2 Novi PazarSuper Liga
Leading scorers: FK Partizan and Novi Pazar
FK Partizan
GoalsAssists
- E. Kojzek32
Novi Pazar
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.