Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Piast Gliwice 2-1 Widzew Łódź.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Piast Gliwice, 28% draw, 28% Widzew Łódź — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Piast Gliwice at 44% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 75D. GrilG
- 99E. TwumasiD
- 5Juande RivasD
- 4J. CzerwińskiD
- 36J. LewickiD
- 98J. LokiloM
- 27J. ŁabojkoM
- 17Q. BoisgardM
- 80Hugo VallejoM
- 19S. Ntamack NdimbaF
- 11Leandro SancaF
- 28F. BorowskiD
- 7Jorge FélixF
- 10A. KatsantonisF
- 31O. LeśniakM
- 90Ivan LimaM
- 18O. MaziarzM
- 12Marcel Mendes-DudzińskiG
- 77S. MuchaM
- 15L. PitanD
- 1B. DrągowskiG
- 70J. GazibegovićD
- 25P. WiśniewskiD
- 3S. KapuadiD
- 40Mario GarcíaD
- 5G. PapanikolaouM
- 79S. BiukM
- 10Fran ÁlvarezM
- 8E. KornvigM
- 7M. FornalczykM
- 99S. BergierF
- 14VisusD
- 90Ioan VermeșanF
- 28K. ŚwiderskiF
- 6J. ShehuM
- 18L. SelahiM
- 19D. MalesM
- 91M. KrajewskiD
- 20A. KlukowskiM
- 30V. IlićG
Form going into Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź
Piast Gliwice
- L1-2Pogon Szczecin20 September 2026
- W2-0away to Radomiak Radom14 September 2026
- W3-0GKS Katowice4 September 2026
- W2-0away to Motor Lublin29 August 2026
Widzew Łódź
- D2-2Wieczysta Kraków18 September 2026
- D1-1away to Legia Warszawa13 September 2026
- D0-0Radomiak Radom5 September 2026
- L2-3Lech Poznan30 August 2026
What these results say
- Piast Gliwice scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Piast Gliwice won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Piast Gliwice kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Widzew Łódź did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Widzew Łódź scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Widzew Łódź conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 16 |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź
- 11 October 2026Piast Gliwice 2–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 23 May 2026Widzew Łódź 2–1 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
- 28 November 2025Piast Gliwice 0–2 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 10 July 2025Widzew Łódź 1–0 Piast GliwiceFriendlies Clubs
- 28 March 2025Piast Gliwice 0–2 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 21 September 2024Widzew Łódź 1–0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Piast Gliwice and Widzew Łódź
Piast Gliwice
GoalsAssists
- Leandro Sanca41
Widzew Łódź
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.