Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Ramat Gan 0-4 Beitar Jerusalem.
Before kick-off the model made it 24% Hapoel Ramat Gan, 25% draw, 51% Beitar Jerusalem — fair odds of 4.17, 4.00 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Beitar Jerusalem at 51% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 55Amit RaifG
- 66S. MijailovićD
- 5Jota GonçalvesD
- 4Márcio SilvaD
- 33F. IbrahimD
- 21I. OliM
- 6G. NaorM
- 28M. HozezM
- 7M. PlakushchenkoM
- 11D. AsankaM
- 99Luan CamposF
- 17O. YitzhakD
- 24T. GlazerM
- 20C. BonifaceM
- 9M. NoubissiF
- 10M. SemelF
- 3D. TischlerD
- 16A. ZurD
- 2Getachew YabeloD
- 22A. YankoG
- 55Miguel SilvaG
- 2N. AntwiD
- 44L. GadraniD
- 5G. CohenD
- 11T. MuziD
- 80Alexis SernaM
- 40B. EnowM
- 77O. AtziliM
- 30T. YosefiM
- 7Y. ShuaM
- 19S. WeissmanF
- 9J. KaluF
- 14R. ElimelechD
- 25L. DeriD
- 8Z. ShimolM
- 23O. N. AzoF
- 13E. AnsahF
- 22Y. OzerG
- 26D. WorkoM
- 10A. YonaM
Form going into Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Ramat Gan
- L0-1away to Bnei Sakhnin19 September 2026
- W2-0Maccabi Netanya14 September 2026
- L0-4away to Hapoel Tel Aviv7 September 2026
- L1-2Hapoel Beer Sheva29 August 2026
Beitar Jerusalem
- W2-1Hapoel Haifa19 September 2026
- W3-1Maccabi Petah Tikva15 September 2026
- W1-0away to Bnei Sakhnin7 September 2026
- L0-3away to Hapoel Tel Aviv3 September 2026
What these results say
- Hapoel Ramat Gan failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Hapoel Ramat Gan conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Beitar Jerusalem won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Beitar Jerusalem scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Beitar Jerusalem conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem
- 11 October 2026Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–4 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al
- 17 August 2026Hapoel Ramat Gan 3–3 Beitar JerusalemToto Cup Ligat Al
Leading scorers: Hapoel Ramat Gan and Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Ramat Gan
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Beitar Jerusalem
GoalsAssists
- O. Atzili32
- E. Ansah30
- B. Enow20
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.