Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-0 Bnei Sakhnin.
Before kick-off the model made it 76% Maccabi Tel Aviv, 16% draw, 8% Bnei Sakhnin — fair odds of 1.32, 6.25 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Maccabi Tel Aviv at 76% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 321 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 63.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.1%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1O. MelikaG
- 2J. TavernierD
- 5M. CamaraD
- 13R. ShlomoD
- 22N. Ben HarushD
- 28I. SissokhoM
- 77O. DavidaM
- 42Dor PeretzM
- 16G. KanichowskyM
- 11S. YehezkelM
- 9E. SoklerF
- 18D. GlazerM
- 41I. Ben HamoD
- 6T. AsanteD
- 33H. LayousF
- 19E. MadmonF
- 90R. MishpatiG
- 30I. NoyM
- 29Hélio VarelaF
- 36I. ShaharM
- 1R. BălbărăuG
- 13L. OwusuD
- 2M. GantusD
- 5I. Abu AbaidD
- 4O. DahanD
- 92Saná GomesD
- 10M. Anim CudjoeM
- 6A. TahaM
- 8M. VorobjovasM
- 29A. SalmanM
- 7I. ShviroF
- 22M. Abu NilG
- 21M. Abu RiyaM
- 11J. BushnaqF
- 20M. GanameD
- 28I. HagagM
- 16L. HalafF
- 24B. KhuriF
- 9D. ParaschivF
- 77A. SeferF
Form going into Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin
Maccabi Tel Aviv
- W2-1away to Maccabi Netanya19 September 2026
- W4-1Hapoel Tel Aviv14 September 2026
- W4-1away to Hapoel Beer Sheva7 September 2026
- W3-1Maccabi Haifa31 August 2026
Bnei Sakhnin
- W1-0Hapoel Ramat Gan19 September 2026
- L1-3away to Hapoel Haifa14 September 2026
- L0-1Beitar Jerusalem7 September 2026
- L1-2Maccabi Petah Tikva29 August 2026
What these results say
- Maccabi Tel Aviv won every one of these 4 matches.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Bnei Sakhnin failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Bnei Sakhnin scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Bnei Sakhnin conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 16 |
| 10 | Bnei Sakhnin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin
- 10 October 2026Maccabi Tel Aviv 0–0 Bnei SakhninLigat Ha'al
- 10 January 2026Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–0 Bnei SakhninLigat Ha'al
- 28 September 2025Bnei Sakhnin 0–0 Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
- 16 February 2025Maccabi Tel Aviv 3–1 Bnei SakhninLigat Ha'al
- 10 November 2024Bnei Sakhnin 0–4 Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
- 18 August 2024Maccabi Tel Aviv 2–1 Bnei SakhninToto Cup Ligat Al
Leading scorers: Maccabi Tel Aviv and Bnei Sakhnin
Maccabi Tel Aviv
GoalsAssists
- Dor Peretz51
- E. Sokler21
- O. Davida20
Bnei Sakhnin
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.