Dundee United vs Hibernian Premiership prediction & result
Final score: Dundee United 1-0 Hibernian.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Dundee United, 27% draw, 35% Hibernian — fair odds of 2.63, 3.70 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Scottish Premiership predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dundee United at 38% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dundee United vs Hibernian
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1J. WaltonG
- 23J. RawlinsD
- 3B. EsselinkD
- 18M. ForbesD
- 19K. CiubotaruD
- 14Zidane IqbalM
- 16L. CameronM
- 10D. TaitM
- 21J. RandallF
- 93I. MetsokoF
- 77D. BennieF
- 30J. AmissahG
- 8Panutche CamaráM
- 20N. FarrugiaF
- 6R. GrahamD
- 4I. IovuD
- 22D. NaamoD
- 15L. RoseF
- 9Z. SapsfordM
- 26Abdoulaye YoroM
- 1R. SallingerG
- 25F. PasslackD
- 6J. KerrD
- 5M. IvezićD
- 22A. ŠutoD
- 15J. IredaleD
- 7O. EldingM
- 14M. ChaiwaM
- 8J. MulliganM
- 18T. KlidjeM
- 23C. WrightF
- 47A. AbdulaiM
- 10M. BoyleF
- 19N. CaddenM
- 24J. DevaneyM
- 4G. HanleyD
- 9N. LoweF
- 39R. MatondoM
- 11J. NewellM
- 35F. OwensG
Form going into Dundee United vs Hibernian
Dundee United
- W3-0away to St Mirren19 September 2026
- D1-1Falkirk5 September 2026
- L0-3away to Motherwell2 September 2026
- W4-0away to Kilmarnock29 August 2026
Hibernian
- D1-1Aberdeen19 September 2026
- L0-1Kilmarnock15 September 2026
- L1-2away to St Johnstone6 September 2026
- L1-3Heart of Midlothian3 September 2026
What these results say
- Dundee United scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Dundee United had three goals or more.
- Hibernian did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Hibernian conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Hibernian scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dundee United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dundee United vs Hibernian
- 10 October 2026Dundee United 1–0 HibernianPremiership
- 4 February 2026Hibernian 3–2 Dundee UnitedPremiership
- 20 December 2025Dundee United 1–1 HibernianPremiership
- 13 September 2025Hibernian 3–3 Dundee UnitedPremiership
- 3 May 2025Hibernian 3–1 Dundee UnitedPremiership
- 26 February 2025Dundee United 1–3 HibernianPremiership
Leading scorers: Dundee United and Hibernian
Dundee United
GoalsAssists
- J. Randall22
Hibernian
GoalsAssists
- M. Boyle30
- C. Wright20
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.