Fixtures & Predictions

Scottish Premiership predictions

18 matches ahead, from 17 October to 28 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Celtic, 70% against Dundee United. How the model works.

1 home · X draw · 2 away — fair odds, times in UTC

Saturday 17 October — 5 matches

  • 14:00 UTC Hibernian vs Falkirk — model 48% / 26% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.08 · 3.85 · 3.85. Evenly matched
  • 14:00 UTC Kilmarnock vs Motherwell — model 34% / 25% / 41%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 4.00 · 2.44. Edge: Motherwell
  • 14:00 UTC Aberdeen vs St Mirren — model 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.57 · 4.17. Edge: Aberdeen
  • 14:00 UTC St Johnstone vs Dundee United — model 46% / 27% / 27%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 3.70 · 3.70. Evenly matched
  • 19:00 UTC Dundee vs Rangers — model 27% / 25% / 48%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.70 · 4.00 · 2.08. One-sided: Rangers

Sunday 18 October — 1 match

Saturday 24 October — 4 matches

  • 14:00 UTC St Mirren vs Dundee — model 32% / 28% / 40%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.13 · 3.57 · 2.50. Edge: Dundee
  • 14:00 UTC Rangers vs St Johnstone — model 61% / 22% / 17%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.64 · 4.55 · 5.88. One-sided: Rangers
  • 14:00 UTC Dundee United vs Aberdeen — model 43% / 28% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.57 · 3.45. Evenly matched
  • 14:00 UTC Falkirk vs Kilmarnock — model 50% / 24% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.00 · 4.17 · 3.85. Evenly matched

Sunday 25 October — 2 matches

  • 12:00 UTC Hibernian vs Celtic — model 24% / 25% / 51%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.17 · 4.00 · 1.96. One-sided: Celtic
  • 14:00 UTC Motherwell vs Heart of Midlothian — model 32% / 26% / 42%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 3.85 · 2.38. Edge: Heart of Midlothian

Wednesday 28 October — 6 matches

  • 19:45 UTC Celtic vs Dundee United — model 70% / 18% / 12%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.43 · 5.56 · 8.33. One-sided: Celtic
  • 19:45 UTC St Mirren vs Hibernian — model 31% / 29% / 40%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.23 · 3.45 · 2.50. Edge: Hibernian
  • 19:45 UTC Aberdeen vs Falkirk — model 42% / 28% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.38 · 3.57 · 3.33. Evenly matched
  • 19:45 UTC Dundee vs Kilmarnock — model 54% / 23% / 23%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.85 · 4.35 · 4.35. Edge: Dundee
  • 19:45 UTC Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers — model 42% / 25% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.38 · 4.00 · 3.03. Evenly matched
  • 19:45 UTC St Johnstone vs Motherwell — model 41% / 27% / 32%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.44 · 3.70 · 3.13. Evenly matched

Last round: the model's hits and misses

10–11 October: the model called the result of 4 of 6 matches.

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