Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Ironi Tiberias 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Ironi Tiberias, 25% draw, 50% Hapoel Beer Sheva — fair odds of 4.00, 4.00 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hapoel Beer Sheva at 50% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 22I. SharonG
- 14G. SankerD
- 17R. UngerD
- 37O. BačoD
- 13Z. MorganD
- 47D. GolaniD
- 18E. ShamirM
- 3D. KeltjensM
- 8A. CohenM
- 9A. MiranyanF
- 11niv gotliebF
- 7S. FarhudF
- 84N. GbambléM
- 5N. ChenD
- 19G. Ma'atukD
- 27Y. SwisaM
- 77A. YehudaF
- 10B. CohenM
- 30M. BadjieF
- 1G. AmosG
- 1O. MarcianoG
- 2G. MizrahiD
- 44D. DiopD
- 4M. VítorD
- 5Pedro AmadorD
- 17A. ForsonM
- 25Lucas VenturaM
- 8M. Kna'anM
- 20J. EastF
- 66I. ZlatanovićF
- 70João VictorF
- 28N. YehoshuaM
- 45M. Abu RumiF
- 9Z. AhmedF
- 3M. BaltaxaD
- 11A. GanahF
- 15I. NachmiasD
- 7E. PeretzM
- 12I. RotmanD
- 34M. WolffG
Form going into Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Ironi Tiberias
- L2-3away to Maccabi Haifa19 September 2026
- D2-2Hapoel Jerusalem15 September 2026
- W2-1away to Maccabi Petah Tikva5 September 2026
- L0-2away to Ironi Kiryat Shmona29 August 2026
Hapoel Beer Sheva
- W1-0Ironi Kiryat Shmona19 September 2026
- W2-0away to Hapoel Petah Tikva13 September 2026
- L1-4Maccabi Tel Aviv7 September 2026
- D2-2Hapoel Haifa2 September 2026
What these results say
- Ironi Tiberias conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Ironi Tiberias failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Ironi Tiberias scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Hapoel Beer Sheva scored in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
- 10 October 2026Ironi Tiberias 0–2 Hapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al
- 20 December 2025Ironi Tiberias 3–0 Hapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al
- 30 August 2025Hapoel Beer Sheva 7–0 Ironi TiberiasLigat Ha'al
- 15 February 2025Hapoel Beer Sheva 4–0 Ironi TiberiasLigat Ha'al
- 9 November 2024Ironi Tiberias 0–2 Hapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al
- 18 August 2024Hapoel Beer Sheva 2–3 Ironi TiberiasToto Cup Ligat Al
Leading scorers: Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Beer Sheva
Ironi Tiberias
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
GoalsAssists
- A. Ganah20
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.