Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-1 Maccabi Netanya.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Hapoel Petah Tikva, 28% draw, 38% Maccabi Netanya — fair odds of 2.94, 3.57 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Maccabi Netanya at 38% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1O. KatzG
- 12S. IsraeliD
- 5A. Moucketou-MoussoundaD
- 20O. IsraelovD
- 72Y. NassarD
- 6Etai EhudM
- 29B. GontranM
- 7R. LevyM
- 16R. DavidM
- 14E. AsanteM
- 9E. BilleF
- 24G. BadashF
- 15Nachman Yacov Vita AsalD
- 34Omri CohenF
- 28Noam CohenM
- 33Zohar GrinbergD
- 18A. MashiahG
- 3H. ShalomD
- 77CléF
- 8T. AltmanM
- 22SamuG
- 12A. AzugiD
- 23O. VerdonD
- 6B. KonatéD
- 24A. CohenD
- 16B. ZaaruraM
- 32A. OuattaraM
- 13N. NiddamM
- 10O. BiluF
- 83Matheus DavóF
- 7IsaacF
- 21A. TalpaM
- 9E. AlmogF
- 1N. AntmanG
- 44Benny FeldmanD
- 11D. HugiF
- 26K. JaberD
- 5D. KulikovD
- 15M. LeviM
- 98G. SimionM
Form going into Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Petah Tikva
- L0-3away to Hapoel Tel Aviv18 September 2026
- L0-2Hapoel Beer Sheva13 September 2026
- L1-2away to Maccabi Haifa5 September 2026
- W1-0Hapoel Jerusalem29 August 2026
Maccabi Netanya
- L1-2Maccabi Tel Aviv19 September 2026
- L0-2away to Hapoel Ramat Gan14 September 2026
- D1-1Hapoel Haifa7 September 2026
- W4-1away to Beitar Jerusalem29 August 2026
What these results say
- Hapoel Petah Tikva failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Hapoel Petah Tikva conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Maccabi Netanya conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Maccabi Netanya failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Maccabi Netanya scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 4 |
| 8 | Maccabi Netanya | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya
- 10 October 2026Hapoel Petah Tikva 1–1 Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
- 5 August 2026Hapoel Petah Tikva 0–2 Maccabi NetanyaToto Cup Ligat Al
- 31 December 2025Maccabi Netanya 0–2 Hapoel Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
- 13 September 2025Hapoel Petah Tikva 3–1 Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
- 29 July 2025Hapoel Petah Tikva 2–3 Maccabi NetanyaToto Cup Ligat Al
- 19 May 2024Hapoel Petah Tikva 1–3 Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
Leading scorers: Hapoel Petah Tikva and Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Petah Tikva
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Maccabi Netanya
GoalsAssists
- Matheus Davó40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.