Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns Super League prediction & result
Final score: Shenyang Urban 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Shenyang Urban, 25% draw, 33% Wuhan Three Towns — fair odds of 2.38, 4.00 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Chinese Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Shenyang Urban at 42% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns
Line-ups
- 29Zhang YanG
- 3Pan XimingD
- 26Yuan MinchengD
- 35Li HaoranD
- 18Li TixiangM
- 5D. MawlanniyazM
- 10T. KunimotoM
- 15FelipeM
- 11Chen BinbinM
- 7A. KouameF
- 47JeffinhoF
- 16T. WangG
- 28Xu DongD
- 27Gao JiarunD
- 33Tian YinongM
- 36Tian DeaoM
- 30Pang ShenghanD
- 34H. ZhangD
- 19Wu MingyuD
- 8Yan DinghaoM
- 31Guo JiayuG
- 23Ming TianD
- 2He GuanD
- 13Zheng KaimuD
- 4Xu HaofengD
- 8Wang JinxianM
- 18Zhang XiaobinM
- 20Adriano FirminoM
- 10K. BevisM
- 21J. XiongF
- 29J. CadizF
- 22Fang JingqiG
- 28Wang DennyD
- 19Liu YimingD
- 5Li ShenyuanD
- 33Liu BinbinM
- 12Liao ChengjianM
- 30Zhong JinbaoM
- 15Chen ZhechaoD
- 16Min ZixiM
Form going into Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns
Shenyang Urban
- L0-1away to Tianjin Teda12 September 2026
- L0-5away to Yunnan Yukun6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Chengdu Better City29 August 2026
- D4-4Henan Jianye23 August 2026
Wuhan Three Towns
- L1-4away to Hangzhou Greentown18 September 2026
- D1-1Henan Jianye12 September 2026
- D2-2Qingdao Youth Island5 September 2026
- W5-1away to Qingdao Jonoon29 August 2026
What these results say
- Shenyang Urban did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Shenyang Urban conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Shenyang Urban had three goals or more.
- Wuhan Three Towns scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Wuhan Three Towns conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Wuhan Three Towns.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Shenyang Urban | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 26 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns
- 11 October 2026Shenyang Urban 1–1 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
- 16 May 2026Wuhan Three Towns 2–2 Shenyang UrbanSuper League
- 5 June 2021Wuhan Three Towns 2–3 Shenyang UrbanLeague One
- 11 May 2021Shenyang Urban 1–3 Wuhan Three TownsLeague One
Leading scorers: Shenyang Urban and Wuhan Three Towns
Shenyang Urban
GoalsAssists
- Jeffinho102
- G. Mbenza91
Wuhan Three Towns
GoalsAssists
- J. Cádiz186
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.