Premijer Liga

1. Zrinjski — 24 points from 9 played (8 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost), 23 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +16. Form, oldest first: W W L W W.
2. Borac Banja Luka — 22 points from 9 played (7 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 17 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: L W W W W.
3. FK Sarajevo — 14 points from 9 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 6 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W L L W D.
4. Zeljeznicar Sarajevo — 12 points from 9 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W W D D L.
5. Siroki Brijeg — 10 points from 9 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L L D L D.
6. Čelik — 9 points from 9 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 11 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D L W D D.
7. Sloga Doboj — 9 points from 9 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 7 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: W D L L L.
8. BSK Banja Luka — 8 points from 9 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 12 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L W D D L.
9. Velež — 8 points from 9 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 6 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: D L W L D.
10. Radnik Bijeljina — 7 points from 9 played (1 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 15 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: D L L D W.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 10 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Borac Banja Luka — title chance up 6.6, to 53.5%.
• Velež — bottom-three risk down 6.6, to 50.7%.
• Zrinjski — title chance down 6.4, to 45.5%.
• Čelik — bottom-three risk up 5.2, to 26.6%.
• Radnik Bijeljina — bottom-three risk up 1.2, to 52.7%.

Season projection

Every one of the 135 matches this competition has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. Movement is measured against 2026-10-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Borac Banja Luka — projected to finish on 80.9 points, from 22 after 9 played. Wins it 53.5% (up 6.6), finishes top four 100%, bottom two 0%.
2. Zrinjski — projected to finish on 79.8 points, from 24 after 9 played. Wins it 45.5% (down 6.4), finishes top four 100%, bottom two 0%.
3. FK Sarajevo — projected to finish on 58.2 points, from 14 after 9 played. Wins it 1% (down 0.2), finishes top four 84%, bottom two 0.6%.
4. Zeljeznicar Sarajevo — projected to finish on 46.9 points, from 12 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 37.4%, bottom two 7.9%.
5. Čelik — projected to finish on 43.6 points, from 9 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 25.7%, bottom two 14.5%.
6. Siroki Brijeg — projected to finish on 42 points, from 10 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 17.2%, bottom two 17.9%.
7. BSK Banja Luka — projected to finish on 39.9 points, from 8 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 14.9%, bottom two 28.6%.
8. Velež — projected to finish on 38.3 points, from 8 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 8.7%, bottom two 33.4%.
9. Radnik Bijeljina — projected to finish on 38 points, from 7 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 9.7%, bottom two 35.3%.
10. Sloga Doboj — projected to finish on 32.8 points, from 9 after 9 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 2.4%, bottom two 61.8%.