9 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia 1. Division prediction & result

Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Referee: Antonis Konstantinidis
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Karmiotissa 0-3 Omonia Nicosia.

Before kick-off the model made it 15% Karmiotissa, 24% draw, 61% Omonia Nicosia — fair odds of 6.67, 4.17 and 1.64. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Omonia Nicosia at 61% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Karmiotissa0%Draw1%Omonia Nicosia99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Christos Wheeler
6'
22'
panagiotis andreou
Alastair Reynolds
44'
🔁petros psichasout: Jael Pawaridihadjo
59'
🔁Mateja Bajunovicout: Xhuljo Tabaku
59'
60'
⚽Luuk Brouwers
68'
🔁panagiotis andreouout: Mateo Marić
🔁Alastair Reynoldsout: Iakovos savvidis
78'
🔁Christos Wheelerout: themistoklis themistokleous
78'
cesar julio
81'
86'
🔁Loïs Dionyout: Andronikos Kakoullis
86'
🔁Jaden Sean Montnorout: Florin Tănase
🔁Marios Kokinoftasout: Manolis Pavlis
86'
88'
⚽Muamer Tanković
Xhuljo Tabaku
89'
90'
⚽Lubomír Šatka

Line-ups

Karmiotissa
  • 1N. GiannakopoulosG
  • 8C. YebliM
  • 6C. WheelerD
  • 10D. A. ReynoldsM
  • 21P. PsychasM
  • 9Patrick LuanF
  • 20Marios KokkinoftasM
  • 33Julio CesarD
  • 22Ruben GarciaD
  • 4S. DembéléD
  • 7M. BajunovicM
Substitutes
  • 23Alexandre KutateladzeM
  • 97Angelos ArgyriouD
  • 19S. PanagiotouF
  • 27Manolis PavlisM
  • 34Jael PawaridihadjoF
  • 99D. PriniotakiG
  • 11I. SavvidisM
  • 44J. SmairaD
  • 26X. TabakuM
Coach: Alexandros Garpozis
Omonia Nicosia
  • 74P. AndreouM
  • 29J. BalkovecD
  • 20L. BrouwersM
  • 11EwandroM
  • 5S. CoulibalyD
  • 99L. DionyF
  • 93J. DuverneD
  • 7J. MontnorF
  • 37Ľ. ŠatkaD
  • 22M. TankovicF
  • 1T. KaminskiG
Substitutes
  • 44G. ViktorosD
  • 17F. TănaseM
  • 27S. SimičD
  • 85A. NeophytouF
  • 77L. NégoD
  • 78Pantelis MichailG
  • 21M. MayambelaF
  • 14M. MarićM
  • 9A. KakoullisF
Coach: H. Berg

Form going into Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia

Karmiotissa

  • D0-0away to Aris20 September 2026
  • D1-1Omonia Aradippou12 September 2026
  • D2-2away to Omonia 29is Maiou4 September 2026
  • L0-3Pafos30 August 2026

Omonia Nicosia

  • W4-1Krasava Ypsonas20 September 2026
  • D0-0Apollon Limassol12 September 2026
  • W4-1away to Aris7 September 2026
  • D0-0Omonia Aradippou31 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Karmiotissa503239-63
3Omonia Nicosia5320112+911

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia

  • 1 February 2025Omonia Nicosia 3–0 Karmiotissa1. Division
  • 28 October 2024Karmiotissa 2–6 Omonia Nicosia1. Division
  • 16 December 2023Omonia Nicosia 2–1 Karmiotissa1. Division
  • 26 August 2023Karmiotissa 3–3 Omonia Nicosia1. Division
  • 5 March 2023Karmiotissa 1–2 Omonia Nicosia1. Division
  • 5 December 2022Omonia Nicosia 4–0 Karmiotissa1. Division
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.