Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca Liga Pro prediction & result
Final score: Orense SC 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Orense SC, 27% draw, 28% Deportivo Cuenca — fair odds of 2.22, 3.70 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Ecuador LigaPro predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Orense SC at 45% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12R. SilvaG
- 4M. QuiñonezD
- 24G. AchilierD
- 3Sixto Romario Mina ArroyoD
- 31P. VelascoM
- 25R. JaramilloM
- 14E. PluasM
- 15B. CaicedoM
- 13Á. MenaF
- 11A. HerreraF
- 77B. ViñánF
- 26N. MolinaM
- 57S. MairongoM
- 22J. OrtizG
- 51C. OrtÃzM
- 2B. QuiñonezD
- 21G. RostagnoM
- 88J. ValenciaF
- 19Michael Alessandro Bermúdez ReyesF
- 6S. CallegariD
- 1F. FerreroG
- 43J. OrdoñezD
- 23E. GuevaraD
- 28P. BoolsenD
- 6S. PostelD
- 37C. ArboledaD
- 14J. ChacónM
- 30M. MaccariM
- 8É. VegaM
- 11G. RiveroF
- 19Melvin Fabricio Díaz CanenciaF
- 50Jostin Missael Caicedo Solis
- 53Yeltzin Hernán Erique VilliguaD
- 49David GonzálezM
- 29M. KlimowiczF
- 25Marcos Andrés López CabreraD
- 7Lucas Eduardo MancinelliF
- 16J. MejiaM
- 12Ethan Gabriel Minda HumananteG
- 3G. NardelliD
Form going into Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
- L1-2away to Manta FC21 September 2026
- L1-2away to Universidad Catolica Quito15 September 2026
- W4-3Guayaquil City FC8 September 2026
- L0-1away to Leones del Norte3 September 2026
Deportivo Cuenca
- D1-1Mushuc Runa SC20 September 2026
- D1-1away to LDU de Quito13 September 2026
- L0-1Libertad7 September 2026
- W1-0Guayaquil City FC2 September 2026
What these results say
- Orense SC conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Orense SC failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Orense SC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Deportivo Cuenca had two goals or fewer.
- Deportivo Cuenca failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Deportivo Cuenca scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Orense SC | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 34 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca
- 11 October 2026Orense SC 0–0 Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro
- 16 August 2026Orense SC 2–0 Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro
- 22 April 2026Deportivo Cuenca 1–3 Orense SCLiga Pro
- 31 August 2025Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Orense SCLiga Pro
- 10 May 2025Orense SC 1–0 Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro
- 10 August 2024Deportivo Cuenca 1–2 Orense SCLiga Pro
Leading scorers: Orense SC and Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
GoalsAssists
- A. Herrera82
Deportivo Cuenca
No player in Liga Pro's leading scorers — 26 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.