LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC Liga Pro prediction & result
Final score: LDU de Quito 2-1 Barcelona SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% LDU de Quito, 31% draw, 30% Barcelona SC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Ecuador LigaPro predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts LDU de Quito at 39% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1G. ValleG
- 30G. AllalaD
- 4Ricardo AdeD
- 33Leonel Enrique Quiñónez PadillaD
- 57M. WeigandtM
- 20F. CornejoM
- 8J. PretellM
- 7L. RodríguezM
- 23Yerlin QuinonezM
- 13J. CorozoF
- 11M. EstradaF
- 77K. VelascoF
- 44L. SegoviaD
- 31J. RodrÃguezM
- 18Washington Nahir Olvera ZambranoM
- 3Richard Alexander Mina CaicedoD
- 26I. ZambranoM
- 10Alexander Antonio Alvarado CarrielM
- 16DeyversonF
- 67J. CarabalíM
- 1J. ContrerasG
- 18B. CarabalíD
- 33J. BáezD
- 4G. VallecillaD
- 15J. PerlazaD
- 32M. LugoM
- 27W. VargasM
- 50J. GarcíaM
- 10D. DíazM
- 51Jefferson WilaM
- 11T. RodríguezF
- 8S. DíazF
- 44J. ChaláD
- 26B. CastilloD
- 16L. CanoF
- 9D. BenedettoF
- 13José Luis AnguloG
- 80Jandry GomezM
- 23T. MartínezM
- 70M. MejíaF
Form going into LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
- W2-1Universidad Catolica Quito20 September 2026
- D1-1Deportivo Cuenca13 September 2026
- W3-1away to Tecnico Universitario5 September 2026
- D0-0Mushuc Runa SC2 September 2026
Barcelona SC
- D1-1Delfin SC13 September 2026
- D1-1away to Aucas7 September 2026
- W2-1Independiente del Valle3 September 2026
- L0-2away to Manta FC30 August 2026
What these results say
- LDU de Quito went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- LDU de Quito scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- LDU de Quito conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Barcelona SC conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Barcelona SC failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Barcelona SC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | LDU de Quito | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 26 | +9 | 52 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 27 | +6 | 44 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC
- 11 October 2026LDU de Quito 2–1 Barcelona SCLiga Pro
- 27 July 2026Barcelona SC 0–1 LDU de QuitoLiga Pro
- 4 April 2026LDU de Quito 0–2 Barcelona SCLiga Pro
- 23 November 2025Barcelona SC 2–2 LDU de QuitoLiga Pro
- 18 October 2025LDU de Quito 3–0 Barcelona SCLiga Pro
- 25 July 2025Barcelona SC 0–1 LDU de QuitoLiga Pro
Leading scorers: LDU de Quito and Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
GoalsAssists
- M. Estrada61
Barcelona SC
GoalsAssists
- D. Benedetto82
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.