Rubio NU vs Olimpia Division Profesional - Clausura prediction & result
Final score: Rubio NU 0-0 Olimpia.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Rubio NU, 24% draw, 50% Olimpia — fair odds of 3.85, 4.17 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Paraguayan Primera División Clausura predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Olimpia at 50% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rubio NU vs Olimpia
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25F. FraguedaG
- 13V. CabañasD
- 3J. VallejosD
- 5P. ÁlvarezD
- 2R. FerreiraD
- 23Tobías LeivaM
- 15C. NúñezM
- 26S. FretesM
- 29O. AlfonsoM
- 35L. MontielM
- 9R. Ruiz DíazF
- 16J. GonzálezD
- 32L. MaldonadoG
- 10W. MendietaM
- 17Kevin ParedesF
- 40Estiven Osmar Pérez YegrosF
- 14M. RamosD
- 8R. RojasM
- 11M. RoldánF
- 36C. GiménezD
- 1G. OlveiraG
- 27R. CáceresD
- 22J. VeraD
- 15M. GamarraD
- 23E. MatusD
- 6R. OrtizM
- 7F. CardozoM
- 5J. AlfaroM
- 20E. DelmásM
- 9G. ÁvalosF
- 11S. FerreiraF
- 30A. RodríguezD
- 17R. RedesF
- 18S. QuintanaM
- 4T. PayneD
- 12S. LentinellyG
- 29I. LeguizamónM
- 16J. DominguezM
- 24T. CaballeroF
- 35F. AlfonsoF
Form going into Rubio NU vs Olimpia
Rubio NU
- W2-1away to Sportivo Ameliano6 October 2026
- D2-22 de Mayo26 September 2026
- L0-1away to Cerro Porteno19 September 2026
- L0-1Nacional Asuncion13 September 2026
Olimpia
- D1-1Nacional Asuncion6 October 2026
- W1-0away to Libertad Asuncion28 September 2026
- W3-0away to Club Sp. San Lorenzo20 September 2026
- W3-0Sportivo Luqueno13 September 2026
What these results say
- Rubio NU conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Rubio NU failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Olimpia went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Olimpia scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Olimpia won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Division Profesional - Clausura table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rubio NU | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rubio NU vs Olimpia
- 11 October 2026Rubio NU 0–0 OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 2 August 2026Olimpia 5–0 Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 12 April 2026Rubio NU 0–2 OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 14 February 2026Olimpia 0–0 Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 18 October 2017Rubio NU 0–0 OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 6 August 2017Olimpia 3–0 Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Clausura
Leading scorers: Rubio NU and Olimpia
Rubio NU
GoalsAssists
- R. Ruiz Díaz32
Olimpia
GoalsAssists
- A. Alcaraz71
- S. Quintana41
- H. Sandoval40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.