Inter Turku vs KuPS Veikkausliiga prediction & result
Final score: Inter Turku 1-0 KuPS.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Inter Turku, 29% draw, 27% KuPS — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Veikkausliiga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Inter Turku at 44% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Inter Turku vs KuPS
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1E. HuuhtanenG
- 5A. GranlundD
- 22L. KuittinenD
- 6R. IvanovD
- 2J. NiskaD
- 9J. TuominenM
- 14J. LaineM
- 35Eeli KiiskiläM
- 28L. LaineF
- 10Alie ContehF
- 16C. JephtaF
- 30Y. AmankwahD
- 11J. BotuéF
- 3J. HämäläinenD
- 19I. JärvinenM
- 7H. SjögrellM
- 33Muhammed SusoF
- 24J. TauriainenD
- 12E. VuorjokiG
- 8J. Yli-KokkoM
- 1J. KreidlG
- 29A. PuukkoD
- 28B. MagassaD
- 23A. LötjönenD
- 25C. AntwiD
- 10V. GascM
- 8P. PennanenM
- 24B. ArmahM
- 16T. JyryM
- 22S. TourayM
- 11J. MorenoF
- 15A. AikiF
- 34J. EskesenM
- 33T. HämäläinenD
- 13N. KujasaloM
- 21J. Luyeye-LutumbaF
- 20P. ParzyszekF
- 14S. PasanenM
- 12H. RiihimäkiG
- 6S. SavolainenF
Form going into Inter Turku vs KuPS
Inter Turku
- D0-0away to Gnistan7 October 2026
- W1-0away to AC Oulu18 September 2026
- W1-0VPS14 September 2026
- L1-2away to HJK Helsinki9 September 2026
KuPS
- L0-1AC Oulu8 October 2026
- W2-0away to VPS19 September 2026
- D0-0HJK Helsinki13 September 2026
- D1-1away to Gnistan8 September 2026
What these results say
- Inter Turku scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Inter Turku kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Inter Turku had two goals or fewer.
- Every one of these 4 matches for KuPS had two goals or fewer.
- KuPS failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Turku | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 18 | +15 | 52 |
| 3 | KuPS | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 41 | 26 | +15 | 48 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Inter Turku vs KuPS
- 11 October 2026Inter Turku 1–0 KuPSVeikkausliiga
- 31 August 2026Inter Turku 1–0 KuPSVeikkausliiga
- 30 May 2026KuPS 1–1 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
- 2 November 2025KuPS 3–2 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
- 5 October 2025Inter Turku 0–3 KuPSVeikkausliiga
- 17 August 2025KuPS 2–1 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
Leading scorers: Inter Turku and KuPS
Inter Turku
GoalsAssists
- H. Sjögrell62
- C. Jephta30
KuPS
GoalsAssists
- J. Moreno50
- J. Luyeye-Lutumba31
- B. Armah30
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.