Turku PS vs FF Jaro Veikkausliiga prediction & result
Final score: Turku PS 0-1 FF Jaro.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Turku PS, 25% draw, 20% FF Jaro — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Turku PS at 55% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Turku PS vs FF Jaro
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1E. HenrikssonG
- 20M. KauppilaD
- 14M. HrádeckýD
- 25Abdoulie TambaD
- 3E. TurkkiD
- 22T. ZaalM
- 45Joel AhenM
- 10M. KönkköläM
- 28T. VakipartaM
- 29A. MuzaciM
- 41S. AniniF
- 15C. AzongnitodeD
- 26L. IkonenM
- 9L. IvanovicF
- 77T. KarkulowskiD
- 35D. LauriG
- 17A. SihvonenD
- 24N. TaloD
- 44N. VeinbergsF
- 99K. VisserF
- 1S. VitsG
- 5A. BjonbäckD
- 6J. BrunellD
- 4M. OgungbaroD
- 19F. Østigård NessD
- 21J. MyrevikM
- 25G. KocsisM
- 7J. SkauM
- 22K. HardénM
- 23Jonathan LawsonF
- 91V. VuorinenF
- 24V. LofsM
- 77A. SabriyeF
- 12Joas SnellmanG
- 20T. SoderstromD
- 16A. VidjeskogM
- 27J. VikstromF
- 9L. ZetterströmF
- 8Oliver Kass KawoM
- 2F. KassD
Form going into Turku PS vs FF Jaro
Turku PS
- L0-3Ilves19 September 2026
- L0-1away to Mariehamn12 September 2026
- D0-0SJK8 September 2026
- D1-1away to Gnistan31 August 2026
- D0-0Inter Turku23 August 2026
FF Jaro
- D1-1away to Lahti18 September 2026
- D1-1SJK12 September 2026
- L0-2away to Ilves8 September 2026
- L0-2away to Mariehamn31 August 2026
- L0-1AC Oulu22 August 2026
What these results say
- Turku PS did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Turku PS failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Turku PS had two goals or fewer.
- FF Jaro did not win any of these 5 matches.
- FF Jaro conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for FF Jaro had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Turku PS vs FF Jaro
- 10 October 2026Turku PS 0–1 FF JaroVeikkausliiga
- 27 June 2026Turku PS 3–2 FF JaroVeikkausliiga
- 2 May 2026FF Jaro 2–2 Turku PSVeikkausliiga
- 3 October 2024Turku PS 3–0 FF JaroYkkösliiga
- 2 June 2024FF Jaro 0–1 Turku PSYkkösliiga
- 13 April 2024Turku PS 0–2 FF JaroYkkösliiga
Leading scorers: Turku PS and FF Jaro
Turku PS
GoalsAssists
- A. Muzaci30
FF Jaro
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.