Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali Primera A prediction & result
Final score: Santa Fe 0-1 Deportivo Cali.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Santa Fe, 32% draw, 28% Deportivo Cali — fair odds of 2.50, 3.13 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Published · updated
All Colombian Primera A predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Santa Fe at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali
Line-ups
- 1A. MosqueraG
- 13H. PalaciosD
- 18E. OliveraD
- 3V. MorenoD
- 32C. MaflaD
- 7J. TorresM
- 77J. ObrianM
- 16D. TorresM
- 9F. FagundezM
- 10A. ZapataM
- 11H. RodallegaF
- 12W. AsprillaG
- 24J. AnguloD
- 15I. R. Scarpeta SilgadoD
- 14L. PalaciosF
- 43J. CaicedoD
- 6K. D. Toscano BassaF
- 39C. Portocarrero
- 19N. BustosF
- 17M. LoveraF
- 38A. RodriguezG
- 27F. ViafaraD
- 12J. C. Caldera AlvisD
- 4F. AlvarezD
- 28E. VelascoD
- 5G. CuellarM
- 19J. MartinezM
- 15L. ChaverraM
- 8D. GiraldoM
- 20E. BelloM
- 9J. DinennoF
- 32S. Mondragon
- 26J. TelloD
- 2J. MoyaD
- 16K. SandovalD
- 10E. ReynosoM
- 43S. MartinezM
- 70C. BaccaF
- 23TitiF
- 14A. ManyomaM
Form going into Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali
Santa Fe
- W4-1away to Alianza Valledupar19 September 2026
- W1-0Deportes Tolima12 September 2026
Deportivo Cali
- W3-0Cucuta19 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 22 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali
- 23 September 2026Santa Fe 0–1 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
- 19 March 2026Deportivo Cali 1–1 Santa FePrimera A
- 10 November 2025Santa Fe 1–0 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
- 17 May 2025Deportivo Cali 0–2 Santa FePrimera A
- 21 August 2024Deportivo Cali 1–3 Santa FePrimera A
- 14 February 2024Santa Fe 1–0 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Leading scorers: Santa Fe and Deportivo Cali
Santa Fe
GoalsAssists
- H. Rodallega142
- N. Bustos115
Deportivo Cali
GoalsAssists
- S. Rodríguez103
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.