America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas Primera A prediction & result
Final score: America de Cali 1-0 Águilas Doradas.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% America de Cali, 27% draw, 20% Águilas Doradas — fair odds of 1.89, 3.70 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts America de Cali at 53% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas
Line-ups
- 1JeanG
- 13M. CastilloD
- 2M. TorresD
- 3D. RoseroD
- 14M. MinaD
- 5J. EscobarM
- 15R. CarrascalM
- 17J. LucumíM
- 10Y. GuzmánM
- 7J. MurilloM
- 21T. ÁngelF
- 9J. ValenciaF
- 23L. QuiñonesF
- 18Y. QuinteroM
- 24C. TovarD
- 88T. PalaciosF
- 12J. MontoyaG
- 6José CavadiaM
- 36Jhordy CamachoF
- 31J. AponzáM
- 1J. SotoG
- 20A. HigginsD
- 4A. MosqueraD
- 3J. OntanedaD
- 32J. MenaD
- 19F. LozanoM
- 6I. RojasM
- 24J. ÁvaloM
- 8A. RicaurteM
- 7E. ArízalasM
- 9A. VásquezF
- 34H. ArangoG
- 29T. BlandonF
- 30N. LaraD
- 13J. MelendezD
- 21R. MárquezF
- 10Junior Alexander Noguera MachucaM
- 15F. SuárezF
- 16M. RamírezF
Form going into America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas
America de Cali
- D1-1away to Deportes Tolima20 September 2026
- L0-1Deportivo Pasto15 September 2026
Águilas Doradas
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 27 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas
- 24 September 2026America de Cali 1–0 Águilas DoradasPrimera A
- 20 March 2026Águilas Doradas 0–1 America de CaliPrimera A
- 27 July 2025America de Cali 2–1 Águilas DoradasPrimera A
- 30 April 2025Águilas Doradas 0–1 America de CaliPrimera A
- 16 July 2024Águilas Doradas 1–2 America de CaliPrimera A
- 21 January 2024America de Cali 0–1 Águilas DoradasPrimera A
Leading scorers: America de Cali and Águilas Doradas
America de Cali
GoalsAssists
- Y. Guzmán186
Águilas Doradas
GoalsAssists
- Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto110
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.