SpVgg Greuther Fürth
vs
Eintracht Braunschweig
2. Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–1 Eintracht Braunschweig
The model makes it 43% SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 26% draw, 31% Eintracht Braunschweig — fair odds of 2.33, 3.85 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.74, Eintracht Braunschweig 1.39.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, under 2.5: 39%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 15th on 6 points from 7 games; Eintracht Braunschweig are 11th on 7 points from 7 games — 2. Bundesliga.
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Hertha BSC.
- Eintracht Braunschweig have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Holstein Kiel.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 24 January 2026, ended SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–0 Eintracht Braunschweig.
More 2. Bundesliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig
Has the model earned this number?
It puts SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 43% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- L1-2away to Hertha BSC11 October 2026
- D1-11. FC Magdeburg18 September 2026
- D1-1away to VfL Bochum12 September 2026
- L0-11. FC Heidenheim6 September 2026
- W4-3away to Energie Cottbus29 August 2026
Eintracht Braunschweig
- W1-0Holstein Kiel9 October 2026
- L0-1away to 1. FC Kaiserslautern19 September 2026
- D2-2Dynamo Dresden12 September 2026
- L1-3away to VfL Osnabrück6 September 2026
- L3-5Hertha BSC28 August 2026
What these results say
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Eintracht Braunschweig failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Eintracht Braunschweig scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Eintracht Braunschweig conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 24% today
Eintracht Braunschweig
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 27% today
From our 2. Bundesliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig
- 24 January 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–0 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
- 9 August 2025Eintracht Braunschweig 3–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
- 23 February 2025SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–0 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
- 21 September 2024Eintracht Braunschweig 2–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
- 4 May 2024SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–3 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
- 2 December 2023Eintracht Braunschweig 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Eintracht Braunschweig
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
GoalsAssists
- F. Klaus51
Eintracht Braunschweig
GoalsAssists
- Jan Urbich41
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
SpVgg Greuther Fürth carry a model rating of 6.44 against 6.42 for Eintracht Braunschweig. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.74 goals for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1.39 for Eintracht Braunschweig. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth rate 0.66 in attack and 1.50 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Eintracht Braunschweig rate 0.65 and 1.53.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Eintracht Braunschweig, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives SpVgg Greuther Fürth a 0.1% chance of the title and Eintracht Braunschweig 0.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives SpVgg Greuther Fürth the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.74 expected goals for SpVgg Greuther Fürth against 1.39 for Eintracht Braunschweig. SpVgg Greuther Fürth's attack/defence rating is 0.66/1.5 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/1.53 for Eintracht Braunschweig.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
SpVgg Greuther Fürth at home · Eintracht Braunschweig away
League matches only, 2. Bundesliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
SpVgg Greuther FürthEintracht Braunschweig
SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 15th after 7 2. Bundesliga matches (between 5th and 15th so far); Eintracht Braunschweig are 8th after 7 (between 1st and 14th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 2. Bundesliga matches this season: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 7, Eintracht Braunschweig 7.
Eintracht Braunschweig score most often in the 0–15 minute window (4 goals); SpVgg Greuther Fürth have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- at VfL Osnabrück25 Oct · 2. Bundesligawin 33%
- vs Holstein Kiel1 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 42%
- at Dynamo Dresden6 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 31%
- at Hannover 9621 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 29%
- vs Arminia Bielefeld29 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 39%
Eintracht Braunschweig
- vs Hannover 9625 Oct · 2. Bundesligawin 38%
- at Arminia Bielefeld30 Oct · 2. Bundesligawin 28%
- vs Energie Cottbus6 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 40%
- at 1. FC Nürnberg21 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 21%
- vs VfL Wolfsburg29 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 28%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.