Safa Baku sit 11th in the Premyer Liqa on 3 points from 7 matches, having scored 2 and conceded 12. On the model's scale they rate 0.37 in attack and 1.80 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Premyer Liqa averages of 0.63 and 1.57: below the division's average at both ends. Across their last 5 league matches they have 5 defeats, most recently losing to Turan 0-1 at home. That is 0.43 points a match, scoring 0.29 and conceding 1.71 per game across 1 win, 0 draws and 6 defeats. That leaves them 13 points behind Neftchi Baku at the top, in a table of 12. Among the 12 rated sides in the division that is the 12th-best attack and the 9th-best defence. They scored in 2 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to Şamaxı FK in the Premyer Liqa on 16 October 2026, a match the model gives them 17%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Premyer Liqa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | +13 | LWWWD | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah FA | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | +13 | WWWWD | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | WWDWW | 16 |
| 4 | Turan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | LWDWW | 14 |
| 5 | Zira | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | WLDLD | 11 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | WLWDW | 10 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | +2 | DWDWD | 10 |
| 8 | Sumqayıt | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | LLDDW | 5 |
| 9 | Qabala | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | DWLLL | 4 |
| 10 | Imisli FK | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | WLLLL | 4 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2:12 | -10 | LLLLL | 3 |
| 12 | Araz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | LLDLL | 2 |
- Champions League qualifying
- Conference League qualifying
- Relegation
Safa Baku sit 11 of 12, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-1Turan11 October 2026
- L0-1away to Qarabag18 September 2026
- L0-3Sabah FA14 September 2026
- L1-4away to Neftchi Baku5 September 2026
- L0-1Imisli FK29 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Safa Baku vs Şamaxı FK
Safa Baku travel to Şamaxı FK at Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi on 16 October 2026, 11:00 UTC. The model makes it 17% Safa Baku, 28% draw and 55% Şamaxı FK, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 0.67 expected goals for Safa Baku against 1.61. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
Full preview and model analysis for Safa Baku vs Şamaxı FK