Sumqayıt sit 8th in the Premyer Liqa on 5 points from 6 matches, having scored 8 and conceded 9. On the model's scale they rate 0.66 in attack and 1.90 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Premyer Liqa averages of 0.63 and 1.57: about average in attack, below it at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, most recently beating Qabala 4-1 at home. That is 0.83 points a match, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.50 per game across 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. That leaves them 11 points behind Neftchi Baku at the top, in a table of 12. Among the 12 rated sides in the division that is the 4th-best attack and the 11th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they host Araz in the Premyer Liqa on 16 October 2026, a match the model gives them 56%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Premyer Liqa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | +13 | LWWWD | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah FA | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | +13 | WWWWD | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | WWDWW | 16 |
| 4 | Turan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | LWDWW | 14 |
| 5 | Zira | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | WLDLD | 11 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | WLWDW | 10 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | +2 | DWDWD | 10 |
| 8 | Sumqayıt | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | LLDDW | 5 |
| 9 | Qabala | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | DWLLL | 4 |
| 10 | Imisli FK | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | WLLLL | 4 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2:12 | -10 | LLLLL | 3 |
| 12 | Araz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | LLDLL | 2 |
- Champions League qualifying
- Conference League qualifying
- Relegation
Sumqayıt sit 8 of 12, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W4-1Qabala10 October 2026
- D1-1away to Kapaz20 September 2026
- D1-1Şamaxı FK12 September 2026
- L1-2away to Turan6 September 2026
- L0-1Qarabag31 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Sumqayıt vs Araz
Sumqayıt host Araz at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit on 16 October 2026, 15:00 UTC. The model makes it 56% Sumqayıt, 22% draw and 22% Araz, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 2.33 expected goals for Sumqayıt against 1.28. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Full preview and model analysis for Sumqayıt vs Araz
Recent meetings with Araz
- 9 May 2026Sumqayıt 2–1 ArazPremyer Liqa
- 15 February 2026Araz 1–0 SumqayıtPremyer Liqa
- 2 November 2025Sumqayıt 3–2 ArazPremyer Liqa
- 7 April 2025Araz 2–0 SumqayıtPremyer Liqa
- 1 February 2025Sumqayıt 0–0 ArazPremyer Liqa
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.