AC Horsens
vs
Randers FC
Superliga prediction
Our model says: AC Horsens 2–1 Randers FC
The model makes it 51% AC Horsens, 24% draw, 25% Randers FC — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).
Expected goals: AC Horsens 2.10, Randers FC 1.33.
Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.
Model confidence: High.
Edge to AC Horsens: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- AC Horsens are 6th on 12 points from 10 games; Randers FC are 8th on 10 points from 10 games — Superliga.
- AC Horsens are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 3-3 draw away to Silkeborg.
- Randers FC are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Viborg.
- Last 6 meetings: AC Horsens 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 29 January 2025, ended Randers FC 3–4 AC Horsens.
More Danish Superliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: AC Horsens vs Randers FC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts AC Horsens at 51% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into AC Horsens vs Randers FC
AC Horsens
- D3-3away to Silkeborg11 October 2026
- D2-2Aarhus20 September 2026
- L0-2away to FC Copenhagen11 September 2026
- W5-2away to Sonderjyske6 September 2026
- L2-3Viborg28 August 2026
Randers FC
- L0-2Viborg11 October 2026
- L2-4away to Sonderjyske20 September 2026
- L1-2Odense13 September 2026
- W3-0away to Brondby6 September 2026
- W2-1Aarhus30 August 2026
What these results say
- AC Horsens conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- AC Horsens failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- AC Horsens scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Randers FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Randers FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Randers FC had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Who is missing for AC Horsens vs Randers FC
AC Horsens
- C. Vestergaardknee injury
Randers FC
- B. Orninjury
- F. Lauenborginjury
- F. Sommerinjury
- J. Bjorkengreninjury
- L. Lissensinjury
- W. Dammersinjury
From our data provider's injury and suspension report, refreshed twice a day. Doubtful means the player may still be named in the squad. The model's probabilities do not yet account for absences.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AC Horsens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Randers FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
AC Horsens
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 11% today
Randers FC
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 52% today
From our Superliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: AC Horsens vs Randers FC
- 29 January 2025Randers FC 3–4 AC HorsensFriendlies Clubs
- 15 July 2023Randers FC 1–0 AC HorsensFriendlies Clubs
- 4 November 2022AC Horsens 5–1 Randers FCSuperliga
- 5 August 2022Randers FC 1–0 AC HorsensSuperliga
- 21 January 2022AC Horsens 2–1 Randers FCFriendlies Clubs
- 26 June 2021AC Horsens 1–1 Randers FCFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: AC Horsens and Randers FC
AC Horsens
GoalsAssists
- K. Ehibhatiomhan40
Randers FC
GoalsAssists
- M. Themsen31
- E. Mahmoud31
- M. Sankoh30
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
AC Horsens carry a model rating of 6.57 against 6.41 for Randers FC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.10 goals for AC Horsens and 1.33 for Randers FC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
AC Horsens rate 0.86 in attack and 1.54 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Randers FC rate 0.57 and 1.40.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives AC Horsens a 0.1% chance of the title and Randers FC 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives AC Horsens the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.10 expected goals for AC Horsens against 1.33 for Randers FC. AC Horsens's attack/defence rating is 0.86/1.54 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/1.4 for Randers FC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
AC Horsens at home · Randers FC away
League matches only, Superliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
AC HorsensRanders FC
AC Horsens are 6th after 10 Superliga matches (between 5th and 12th so far); Randers FC are 8th after 10 (between 3rd and 10th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Superliga matches this season: AC Horsens 10, Randers FC 10.
AC Horsens score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Randers FC have let in 5 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
AC Horsens
- vs Sonderjyske25 Oct · Superligawin 54%
- at Viborg1 Nov · Superligawin 27%
- at Aarhus8 Nov · Superligawin 29%
- vs Silkeborg22 Nov · Superligawin 48%
- at Randers FC29 Nov · Superligawin 42%
Randers FC
- vs Brondby23 Oct · Superligawin 31%
- at Lyngby30 Oct · Superligawin 35%
- vs FC Nordsjaelland8 Nov · Superligawin 26%
- at Viborg22 Nov · Superligawin 20%
- vs AC Horsens29 Nov · Superligawin 33%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.