AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage League One postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 30% AFC Wimbledon, 33% draw, 37% Stevenage — fair odds of 3.33, 3.03 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Stevenage at 37% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon
- D1-1away to Cambridge United26 September 2026
- D0-0Milton Keynes Dons17 September 2026
- W1-0Doncaster12 September 2026
- W2-0away to Bromley7 September 2026
Stevenage
- L0-1away to Leyton Orient19 September 2026
- W2-1Luton10 September 2026
- W5-1away to Barnsley5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Peterborough1 September 2026
What these results say
- AFC Wimbledon went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for AFC Wimbledon had two goals or fewer.
- AFC Wimbledon scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Stevenage conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage
- 14 March 2026Stevenage 1–0 AFC WimbledonLeague One
- 26 December 2025AFC Wimbledon 0–0 StevenageLeague One
- 2 September 2025AFC Wimbledon 1–5 StevenageEFL Trophy
- 5 September 2023AFC Wimbledon 1–1 StevenageEFL Trophy
- 15 April 2023Stevenage 2–1 AFC WimbledonLeague Two
Leading scorers: AFC Wimbledon and Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon
GoalsAssists
- J. Stockley41
Stevenage
No player in League One's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.