Salford City vs Fleetwood Town League Two prediction & result
Final score: Salford City 1-0 Fleetwood Town.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Salford City, 30% draw, 29% Fleetwood Town — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Salford City at 41% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Salford City vs Fleetwood Town
Line-ups
- 1W. NorrisG
- 43L. MolyneuxD
- 4W. AimsonD
- 17D. ScarrD
- 24T. AllenD
- 14A. OdohD
- 7B. WoodburnM
- 8J. GrantM
- 44B. Sarpong-WireduM
- 10K. N’MaiF
- 9M. LangstaffF
- 26L. BurgeG
- 18M. ButcherM
- 29L. GarbuttD
- 19R. GraydonF
- 22A. OluwoD
- 20O. TurtonD
- 23D. UdohF
- 1J. LynchG
- 26S. RooneyD
- 6R. BennettD
- 5F. PotterD
- 4H. NealM
- 14L. McCannM
- 15A. MurphyM
- 10M. HelmM
- 24Jake Thomas BattyM
- 17C. EvansF
- 20A. Loupalo-BiF
- 22J. PradicG
- 32Kayden HughesD
- 36J. DempseyD
- 9W. DaviesF
- 19R. CoughlanF
- 28J. RobertsonM
- 29R. CirinoD
Form going into Salford City vs Fleetwood Town
Salford City
- W4-1away to Oldham26 September 2026
- W1-0Swindon Town19 September 2026
- D3-3away to Rotherham12 September 2026
Fleetwood Town
- L1-2Rochdale26 September 2026
- L1-3away to Barnet19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Newport County12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 19 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Salford City vs Fleetwood Town
- 3 October 2026Salford City 1–0 Fleetwood TownLeague Two
- 29 December 2025Salford City 0–0 Fleetwood TownLeague Two
- 9 December 2025Fleetwood Town 1–1 Salford CityLeague Two
- 18 January 2025Salford City 0–2 Fleetwood TownLeague Two
- 29 October 2024Fleetwood Town 2–2 Salford CityLeague Two
Leading scorers: Salford City and Fleetwood Town
Salford City
GoalsAssists
- J. Powell32
Fleetwood Town
No player in League Two's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.