Northampton vs Oldham League Two postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 38% Northampton, 29% draw, 33% Oldham — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Northampton at 38% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Northampton vs Oldham
Northampton
- L0-1Rotherham19 September 2026
- L0-2away to Shrewsbury12 September 2026
- W1-0Newport County5 September 2026
- D1-1Crawley Town1 September 2026
Oldham
- L1-4Salford City26 September 2026
- L0-2away to Rochdale19 September 2026
- L1-2Chesterfield12 September 2026
- L0-2away to Tranmere5 September 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 4 matches for Northampton had two goals or fewer.
- Northampton failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Northampton conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Oldham did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Oldham conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Northampton vs Oldham
- 1 November 2025Oldham 3–1 NorthamptonFA Cup
- 15 April 2022Oldham 0–2 NorthamptonLeague Two
- 23 November 2021Northampton 2–1 OldhamLeague Two
- 2 November 2019Oldham 2–2 NorthamptonLeague Two
Leading scorers: Northampton and Oldham
Northampton
No player in League Two's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Oldham
GoalsAssists
- C. Kavanagh43
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.