League Two predictions & fixtures

Saturday 17 October — 12 matches

11:30 UTC Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham — model 38% / 30% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.33 · 3.13. Evenly matched
11:30 UTC Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers — model 33% / 27% / 40%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.03 · 3.70 · 2.50. Edge: Bristol Rovers
14:00 UTC Oldham vs Cheltenham — model 46% / 26% / 28%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 3.85 · 3.57. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Port Vale vs Chesterfield — model 37% / 29% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.45 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach
14:00 UTC Swindon Town vs Walsall — model 35% / 28% / 37%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.86 · 3.57 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach
14:00 UTC Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham — model 39% / 28% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.56 · 3.57 · 3.03. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Colchester vs Exeter City — model 36% / 29% / 35%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.45 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
14:00 UTC Crewe vs Rochdale — model 46% / 29% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.45 · 4.00. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Grimsby vs Northampton — model 47% / 27% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.13 · 3.70 · 3.85. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Newport County vs York — model 31% / 26% / 43%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.23 · 3.85 · 2.33. Edge: York
14:00 UTC Tranmere vs Barnet — model 25% / 23% / 52%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.00 · 4.35 · 1.92. One-sided: Barnet
14:00 UTC Salford City vs Crawley Town — model 57% / 25% / 18%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.75 · 4.00 · 5.56. One-sided: Salford City

Tuesday 20 October — 12 matches

18:45 UTC Rotherham vs Newport County — model 45% / 28% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.57 · 3.70. Evenly matched
18:45 UTC Bristol Rovers vs Salford City — model 35% / 27% / 38%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.86 · 3.70 · 2.63. Tight game · draw in reach
18:45 UTC Northampton vs Tranmere — model 47% / 27% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.13 · 3.70 · 3.85. Evenly matched
18:45 UTC Rochdale vs Grimsby — model 33% / 28% / 39%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.57 · 2.56. Edge: Grimsby
18:45 UTC Walsall vs Oldham — model 43% / 28% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.57 · 3.45. Evenly matched
18:45 UTC Chesterfield vs Colchester — model 47% / 27% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.13 · 3.70 · 3.85. Evenly matched
18:45 UTC Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury — model 38% / 29% / 33%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.45 · 3.03. Evenly matched
18:45 UTC Exeter City vs Crewe — model 40% / 29% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.45 · 3.23. Evenly matched
18:45 UTC Barnet vs Swindon Town — model 58% / 22% / 20%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.72 · 4.55 · 5.00. Edge: Barnet
18:45 UTC Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town — model 39% / 27% / 34%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.56 · 3.70 · 2.94. Evenly matched
18:45 UTC York vs Accrington Stanley — model 53% / 24% / 23%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.89 · 4.17 · 4.35. Edge: York
19:00 UTC Gillingham vs Port Vale — model 37% / 29% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.45 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach

Saturday 24 October — 11 matches

11:30 UTC Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town — model 45% / 26% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.22 · 3.85 · 3.45. Evenly matched
11:30 UTC Northampton vs Colchester — model 40% / 29% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.45 · 3.23. Evenly matched
11:30 UTC Cheltenham vs Newport County — model 43% / 26% / 31%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.33 · 3.85 · 3.23. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Rotherham vs Shrewsbury — model 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.57 · 4.17. Edge: Rotherham
14:00 UTC Rochdale vs Accrington Stanley — model 41% / 29% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.45 · 3.33. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Chesterfield vs Crewe — model 42% / 28% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.38 · 3.57 · 3.33. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Gillingham vs Grimsby — model 34% / 27% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.70 · 2.56. Edge: Grimsby
14:00 UTC Crawley Town vs Tranmere — model 38% / 27% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 3.70 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
14:00 UTC Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town — model 45% / 29% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.45 · 3.85. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Barnet vs Oldham — model 54% / 23% / 23%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.85 · 4.35 · 4.35. Edge: Barnet
14:00 UTC York vs Port Vale — model 46% / 27% / 27%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 3.70 · 3.70. Evenly matched

Monday 26 October — 1 match

20:00 UTC Walsall vs Salford City — model 37% / 29% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.45 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach

Last round: the model's hits and misses

10 October: the model called the result of 5 of 12 matches, 3 of them to the exact score.

Oldham 0–0 Accrington Stanley — the model said 46% / 27% / 27%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Swindon Town 0–1 Crewe — the model said 35% / 29% / 36%, most likely 0-1: exact scoreline.
Bristol Rovers 1–3 Barnet — the model said 36% / 24% / 40%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
Cheltenham 0–2 Salford City — the model said 36% / 27% / 37%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
Crawley Town 2–2 Chesterfield — the model said 26% / 27% / 47%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
Fleetwood Town 1–1 Walsall — the model said 37% / 30% / 33%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Newport County 1–0 Colchester — the model said 35% / 28% / 37%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
Port Vale 1–0 Grimsby — the model said 36% / 29% / 35%, most likely 1-0: exact scoreline.
Rotherham 1–4 Gillingham — the model said 45% / 28% / 27%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Shrewsbury 0–1 Exeter City — the model said 30% / 29% / 41%, most likely 0-1: exact scoreline.
Tranmere 1–1 Rochdale — the model said 36% / 28% / 36%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
York 1–1 Northampton — the model said 52% / 25% / 23%, most likely 2-1: result missed.