Ajman
vs
Sharjah FC
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Ajman 2–1 Sharjah FC
The model makes it 40% Ajman, 24% draw, 36% Sharjah FC — fair odds of 2.50, 4.17 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Ajman 1.86, Sharjah FC 1.75.
Both teams to score: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%, under 2.5: 30%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Ajman are 5th on 9 points from 5 games; Sharjah FC are 7th on 9 points from 5 games — Pro League.
- Ajman have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat at home to Al-Ittihad Kalba.
- Sharjah FC have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Al Wahda FC.
- Last 6 meetings: Ajman 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 19 September 2026, ended Ajman 3–2 Sharjah FC.
More UAE Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Ajman vs Sharjah FC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ajman at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Ajman vs Sharjah FC
Ajman
- L2-3Al-Ittihad Kalba11 September 2026
- W2-1away to Al Nasr6 September 2026
- L0-3away to Al-Jazira29 August 2026
- W4-3Hatta SC22 August 2026
- W3-2away to Al Wahda FC14 August 2026
Sharjah FC
- L0-1away to Al Wahda FC11 September 2026
- W4-3Dubai United5 September 2026
- W3-0away to Hatta SC30 August 2026
- L0-2Al-Jazira23 August 2026
- W3-1away to Al-Dhafra15 August 2026
What these results say
- Ajman conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Ajman had three goals or more.
- Ajman scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sharjah FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ajman | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Sharjah FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Ajman vs Sharjah FC
- 19 September 2026Ajman 3–2 Sharjah FCLeague Cup
- 20 February 2026Ajman 3–2 Sharjah FCPro League
- 21 September 2025Sharjah FC 0–1 AjmanPro League
- 22 April 2025Sharjah FC 4–0 AjmanPro League
- 8 December 2024Ajman 0–1 Sharjah FCPro League
- 24 May 2024Ajman 2–2 Sharjah FCPro League
Leading scorers: Ajman and Sharjah FC
Ajman
GoalsAssists
- W. Azaro20
- Saad El Hadani11
Sharjah FC
GoalsAssists
- Igor Coronado31
- Agner20
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Ajman carry a model rating of 6.34 against 6.35 for Sharjah FC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.86 goals for Ajman and 1.75 for Sharjah FC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Ajman rate 0.64 in attack and 1.80 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Sharjah FC rate 0.64 and 1.74.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Ajman the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.86 expected goals for Ajman against 1.75 for Sharjah FC. Ajman's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.8 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.64/1.74 for Sharjah FC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Ajman at home · Sharjah FC away
League matches only, Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Ajman 5, Sharjah FC 5.
Sharjah FC score most often in the 31–45 minute window (3 goals); Ajman have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Ajman
- at Al Ain29 Oct · Pro Leaguewin 15%
- vs Baniyas SC8 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 46%
- at Shabab Al Ahli Dubai20 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 18%
- vs Dubai United4 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 40%
- at Khorfakkan13 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 41%
Sharjah FC
- vs Al Nasr1 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 37%
- vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai7 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 23%
- at Al-Ittihad Kalba20 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 43%
- vs Khorfakkan5 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 48%
- at Al-Wasl FC12 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 22%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.