Al-Ittihad Kalba
vs
Al-Jazira
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Al-Ittihad Kalba 1–2 Al-Jazira
The model makes it 19% Al-Ittihad Kalba, 22% draw, 59% Al-Jazira — fair odds of 5.26, 4.55 and 1.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (10%).
Expected goals: Al-Ittihad Kalba 1.04, Al-Jazira 2.22.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Al-Jazira are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Al-Ittihad Kalba are 10th on 4 points from 5 games; Al-Jazira are top on 13 points from 5 games — Pro League.
- Al-Ittihad Kalba have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-2 win away to Ajman.
- Al-Jazira are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Al Nasr.
- Last 6 meetings: Al-Jazira 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 13 February 2026, ended Al-Jazira 2–1 Al-Ittihad Kalba.
More UAE Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Jazira at 59% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira
Al-Ittihad Kalba
- W3-2away to Ajman11 September 2026
- L0-2Al Ain4 September 2026
- L1-4away to Dubai United28 August 2026
- L0-3Al-Wasl FC21 August 2026
- D2-2away to Al Nasr14 August 2026
Al-Jazira
- D1-1Al Nasr10 September 2026
- W3-1away to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai5 September 2026
- W3-0Ajman29 August 2026
- W2-0away to Sharjah FC23 August 2026
- W2-0away to Hatta SC16 August 2026
What these results say
- Al-Ittihad Kalba conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al-Ittihad Kalba failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Al-Ittihad Kalba had three goals or more.
- Al-Jazira went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Al-Jazira scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al-Jazira won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 1 | Al-Jazira | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira
- 13 February 2026Al-Jazira 2–1 Al-Ittihad KalbaPro League
- 29 December 2025Al-Ittihad Kalba 1–1 Al-JaziraPro League
- 23 April 2025Al-Jazira 1–2 Al-Ittihad KalbaPro League
- 7 December 2024Al-Ittihad Kalba 1–1 Al-JaziraPro League
- 14 March 2024Al-Jazira 2–2 Al-Ittihad KalbaPro League
- 23 September 2023Al-Ittihad Kalba 0–4 Al-JaziraPro League
Leading scorers: Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al-Jazira
Al-Ittihad Kalba
GoalsAssists
- Carlos Alberto11
Al-Jazira
GoalsAssists
- Bruno20
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Al-Ittihad Kalba carry a model rating of 6.2 against 6.64 for Al-Jazira. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.04 goals for Al-Ittihad Kalba and 2.22 for Al-Jazira. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Al-Ittihad Kalba rate 0.53 in attack and 1.93 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Al-Jazira rate 0.76 and 1.17.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al-Jazira the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.04 expected goals for Al-Ittihad Kalba against 2.22 for Al-Jazira. Al-Ittihad Kalba's attack/defence rating is 0.53/1.93 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.76/1.17 for Al-Jazira.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Al-Ittihad Kalba at home · Al-Jazira away
League matches only, Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Al-Ittihad Kalba 5, Al-Jazira 5.
Al-Ittihad Kalba score most often in the 16–30 minute window (2 goals); Al-Jazira have let in 0 there.
Al-Jazira score most often in the 31–45 minute window (3 goals); Al-Ittihad Kalba have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Al-Ittihad Kalba
- at Shabab Al Ahli Dubai30 Oct · Pro Leaguewin 14%
- at Al-Dhafra7 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 40%
- vs Sharjah FC20 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 32%
- at Hatta SC5 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 37%
- vs Al Wahda FC13 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 28%
Al-Jazira
- vs Baniyas SC1 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 62%
- vs Al-Wasl FC8 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 41%
- at Khorfakkan21 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 57%
- vs Al Ain3 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 33%
- at Dubai United13 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 52%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.