Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Al Shamal 0-4 Al-Duhail SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Al Shamal, 26% draw, 39% Al-Duhail SC — fair odds of 2.86, 3.85 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Duhail SC at 39% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC
Line-ups
- 95B. SeckG
- 6Musab KhoderD
- 37Ahmed SuhailD
- 24J. MurilloD
- 2Moufak AwadD
- 28N. BenaïssaM
- 70Tiago SilvaM
- 10Álex ColladoM
- 5M. Ben RomdhaneM
- 17Abdullah AbdulsalamM
- 22W. SaïdF
- 3Abdelkarim HassanD
- 67Saoud Al KhaterG
- 78Ahmad Al SaeedF
- 14Omar AliF
- 15Hussain BahzadD
- 16F. BaisD
- 1Ali MohammedG
- 4Pablo MaríD
- 27Ahmed SayyarM
- 1Salah ZakariaG
- 22I. BambaD
- 5Bassam Al RawiD
- 21J. CastellettoD
- 18Sultan Al BraikD
- 11Tahsin JamshidM
- 3Lucas TutaM
- 24B. SoumaréM
- 7S. YansanéM
- 6M. VerrattiF
- 9K. PiątekF
- 27Abdalla Mugib GamerD
- 8Mubarak Shanan HamzaF
- 37Z. El JaouniD
- 30A. DoumbouyaD
- 26Fahad BakerG
- 19Almoez AliF
- 13Jasim SarourG
Form going into Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC
Al Shamal
- D1-1Al Wakrah10 September 2026
- W4-2Al Shahaniya4 September 2026
- W3-1away to Al-Gharafa27 August 2026
- D2-2away to Al-Arabi SC21 August 2026
Al-Duhail SC
- D1-1Al Shahaniya12 September 2026
- D1-1away to Al-Rayyan SC5 September 2026
- D1-1Al-Arabi SC29 August 2026
- W2-0Al-Sailiya22 August 2026
What these results say
- Al Shamal went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Al Shamal scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Al Shamal conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Al-Duhail SC went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Al-Duhail SC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Al-Duhail SC had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al Shamal | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Al-Duhail SC | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al Shamal and Al-Duhail SC
Al Shamal
GoalsAssists
- B. Bounedjah30
- Moufak Awad20
Al-Duhail SC
No player in Stars League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.