9 October 2026, 14:45 UTC

Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC Stars League prediction & result

Qatar Sports Club Stadium, Doha
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Qatar SC 0-3 Al-Rayyan SC.

Before kick-off the model made it 22% Qatar SC, 25% draw, 53% Al-Rayyan SC — fair odds of 4.55, 4.00 and 1.89. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Al-Rayyan SC at 53% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Qatar SC0%Draw1%Al-Rayyan SC99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

19'
⚽Róger Guedesassist: Otávio
22'
⚽Gabriel Pereiraassist: Otávio
54'
⚽Gabriel Pereira
59'
🔁Ahmed Alaaeldinout: Ahmed Al-Ganehi
59'
🔁Julien De Sartout: Diogo Amaro
🔁Yohan Boliout: Akwasi Addai
74'
🔁Ibrahim Abdelhalimout: Sebastian Soria
74'
🔁Khalid Abdulwahed Al-Obaidlyout: Said Brahmi
74'
75'
🔁Gabriel Pereiraout: Abdulaziz Hatim
75'
🔁Otávioout: Aleksandar Mitrović
77'
André Amaro
85'
🔁André Amaroout: Ibrahim Mohammed Al-Hassan

Match stats — Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC

54%Possession46%
14Shots16
6On target5
4Corners3
1.82xG1.11

Goals against chances

Qatar SC0 from 1.82 xGless than the chances were worth
Al-Rayyan SC3 from 1.11 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Qatar SC 4-4-2
  • 17A. N. MahmoudG
  • 21Abdullah MarafeeD
  • 40S. F. DioufD
  • 24N. MasonD
  • 15K. Al-ObaidlyD
  • 5A. GunnarssonM
  • 12Ibrahim MasoudM
  • 6Pau PrimM
  • 7F. SelemaniM
  • 11Y. BoliF
  • 9João PedroF
Substitutes
  • 23Sebastián SoriaF
  • 33Adnan SalehG
  • 74S. Al AbbasiG
  • 28A. AddaiF
  • 66A. Q. Ayman Mohamed A.D
  • 2Nasir BakshD
  • 14Said BrahmiF
  • 44A. Hanfy
  • 16Abdulrahman Mohsin AliM
Coach: Tintín Márquez
Al-Rayyan SC 4-1-4-1
  • 57Mahmud AbunadaG
  • 8Jassem GaberD
  • 13André AmaroD
  • 5David GarcíaD
  • 12Ahmed Al MinhaliD
  • 4J. De SartM
  • 11Gabriel PereiraM
  • 40GregoreM
  • 25OtávioM
  • 10Róger GuedesM
  • 30Ahmed Alaa EldinF
Substitutes
  • 22Ahmed Al GanehiF
  • 3Hazem ShehataD
  • 21Ibrahim Mohammed Al-HassanM
  • 23S. BeldiG
  • 35Sami MazenG
  • 2Abdalla YousifD
  • 19Ahmed Al RawiF
  • 6Abdulaziz HatemM
  • 9A. MitrovićF
Coach: Vicente Moreno

Form going into Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC

Qatar SC

  • D0-0away to Al-Arabi SC12 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Al Ahli Doha3 September 2026
  • L2-6Al Sadd28 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Al Wakrah20 August 2026

Al-Rayyan SC

  • W3-0Al Ahli Doha11 September 2026
  • D1-1Al-Duhail SC5 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Al Wakrah27 August 2026
  • W1-0Lusail City20 August 2026

What these results say

  • Qatar SC did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Qatar SC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Al-Rayyan SC went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Al-Rayyan SC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Al-Rayyan SC won 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Stars League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Qatar SC5023412-82
1Al-Rayyan SC5410102+813

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC

  • 20 September 2026Al-Rayyan SC 2–2 Qatar SCQSL Cup
  • 6 February 2026Qatar SC 3–3 Al-Rayyan SCStars League
  • 13 September 2025Al-Rayyan SC 1–1 Qatar SCStars League
  • 3 September 2025Al-Rayyan SC 4–1 Qatar SCQSL Cup
  • 18 April 2025Al-Rayyan SC 2–0 Qatar SCStars League
  • 7 December 2024Qatar SC 1–2 Al-Rayyan SCStars League

Leading scorers: Qatar SC and Al-Rayyan SC

Qatar SC

No player in Stars League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Al-Rayyan SC

GoalsAssists

  • Róger Guedes50
  • Gabriel Pereira21

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.