Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Al Ahli Doha 5-0 Al-Sailiya.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Al Ahli Doha, 24% draw, 29% Al-Sailiya — fair odds of 2.13, 4.17 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al Ahli Doha at 47% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Mohamed LinglizG
- 41Ahmed ReyedD
- 8Talal Al ShilaD
- 16R. TihiD
- 88A. AmraouiD
- 33D. FettouhiM
- 77Ismaeel MohammadM
- 27B. BourigeaudM
- 7J. DraxlerM
- 23N. SlitiM
- 10Erik ExpósitoF
- 49Z. SassiD
- 75Nasser Adil BabikerD
- 6Luiz CearáM
- 15Mohammed Abdulla Al-IshaqM
- 20Hamad MansourM
- 5W. Troost-EkongD
- 53Saleh Ahmed QassemG
- 18Jassem MohammedD
- 70Younis AbdelrahmanF
- 1B. BurkeG
- 6Moataz BostamiD
- 4Majed MohammedD
- 15M. NaniD
- 2Abdulla Mahmoud MahmoudD
- 25R. DanzabeM
- 8Ahmed DoozandehM
- 9Ali OlwanM
- 5Abdulrahman MohamedM
- 10M. TaabouniM
- 21A. El GhaziF
- 77Mouz Gadelseed AbdallaD
- 19Abdulaziz Al BakriF
- 71Mus'ab Al BattatD
- 31M. Al BustamiG
- 20Y. BelhandaM
- 55K. van der KaapD
- 22Andri SyahputraM
- 99Salem Al-SufianiD
- 50Youssef SayedG
Form going into Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya
Al Ahli Doha
- L0-3away to Al-Rayyan SC11 September 2026
- W1-0Qatar SC3 September 2026
- D3-3Lusail City28 August 2026
- L1-3away to Al Sadd22 August 2026
Al-Sailiya
- L3-6Al Sadd10 September 2026
- L0-2Al-Arabi SC3 September 2026
- L2-3away to Al Shahaniya29 August 2026
- L0-2away to Al-Duhail SC22 August 2026
What these results say
- Al Ahli Doha failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Al Ahli Doha scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Al Ahli Doha conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Al-Sailiya did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Al-Sailiya conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Ahli Doha | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya
- 10 October 2026Al Ahli Doha 5–0 Al-SailiyaStars League
- 3 April 2026Al Ahli Doha 2–2 Al-SailiyaStars League
- 19 January 2026Al-Sailiya 2–1 Al Ahli DohaQSL Cup
- 1 November 2025Al-Sailiya 1–2 Al Ahli DohaStars League
- 29 April 2023Al Ahli Doha 0–4 Al-SailiyaStars League
- 12 January 2023Al-Sailiya 1–2 Al Ahli DohaStars League
Leading scorers: Al Ahli Doha and Al-Sailiya
Al Ahli Doha
GoalsAssists
- J. Draxler31
- N. Sliti21
Al-Sailiya
GoalsAssists
- Ali Olwan20
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.