Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor 1. Lig prediction & result
Final score: Vanspor FK 0-2 Bandırmaspor.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Vanspor FK, 31% draw, 41% Bandırmaspor — fair odds of 3.57, 3.23 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bandırmaspor at 41% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1A. UysalG
- 11M. ManişD
- 13N. OularéD
- 5S. OsmanoğluD
- 2K. SevenD
- 41M. ÖzcanM
- 19H. ÇiftçiM
- 7I. AlhaftM
- 10O. KökçüM
- 15T. YenneM
- 9Álvaro de OliveiraF
- 30R. ŽivkovićF
- 61F. GençD
- 22A. DamluG
- 65M. BingölD
- 27J. BardhiM
- 77C. HanalpD
- 17İlkan SeverF
- 58Ö. YiğiterM
- 25F. ÖzhanF
- 16A. AlkanG
- 77H. BilgiçD
- 14Y. KocatürkD
- 34Enes AydınD
- 6Lucas LimaD
- 23K. DonertasM
- 92R. MulumbaM
- 20E. ÇinemreM
- 17Emirhan AyhanF
- 90Recep Yalın DilekF
- 11T. KehindeF
- 27Dame SeckF
- 86B. BekaroğluD
- 99F. BekleviçG
- 3A. BilerD
- 7M. GençM
- 10M. GümüşkayaM
- 8D. LiçoM
- 19Yasin MidilicD
- 22A. ÜlgenD
Form going into Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor
Vanspor FK
- L0-3away to Antalyaspor20 September 2026
- D1-1Keçiörengücü12 September 2026
- D2-2away to Muğlaspor6 September 2026
Bandırmaspor
- L0-1Ümraniyespor18 September 2026
- D1-1away to Sarıyer11 September 2026
- W6-0Boluspor5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 7 |
| 9 | Bandırmaspor | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor
- 1 February 2026Bandırmaspor 2–0 Vanspor FK1. Lig
- 29 August 2025Vanspor FK 1–2 Bandırmaspor1. Lig
- 11 January 2020Bandırmaspor 1–0 Vanspor FK2. Lig
- 1 September 2019Vanspor FK 2–2 Bandırmaspor2. Lig
- 31 October 2018Bandırmaspor 0–0 Vanspor FKTürkiye Kupası
Leading scorers: Vanspor FK and Bandırmaspor
Vanspor FK
GoalsAssists
- J. Bardhi40
Bandırmaspor
GoalsAssists
- G. Bruno40
- A. Badji33
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.