Deportivo Cali vs Águilas Doradas Primera A prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo Cali 2-0 Águilas Doradas.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Deportivo Cali, 30% draw, 22% Águilas Doradas — fair odds of 2.08, 3.33 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Deportivo Cali at 48% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Deportivo Cali vs Águilas Doradas
Line-ups
- 38A. RodríguezG
- 27F. ViáfaraD
- 12J. CalderaD
- 4Fernando Antonio Álvarez AmadorD
- 28E. VelascoD
- 19J. MartínezM
- 15L. ChaverraM
- 5G. CuéllarM
- 20E. BelloM
- 23S. RodríguezF
- 10E. ReynosoF
- 14A. Castillo ManyomaM
- 70C. BaccaF
- 9J. DinennoF
- 8D. GiraldoM
- 32Santiago Mondragón AlzateG
- 2J. MoyaD
- 16K. SandovalD
- 29Kevin CaicedoM
- 26J. TelloD
- 1J. SotoG
- 19F. LozanoD
- 4A. MosqueraD
- 3J. OntanedaD
- 32J. MenaD
- 29T. BlandonM
- 6I. RojasM
- 15F. SuárezM
- 8A. RicaurteM
- 7E. ArízalasM
- 9A. VásquezF
- 24J. ÁvaloM
- 16M. RamírezF
- 10Junior Alexander Noguera MachucaM
- 21R. MárquezF
- 13J. MelendezD
- 30N. LaraD
- 20A. HigginsD
- 34H. ArangoG
Form going into Deportivo Cali vs Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Cali
- W1-0away to Santa Fe23 September 2026
- W3-0Cucuta19 September 2026
Águilas Doradas
- L0-1away to America de Cali24 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 25 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo Cali vs Águilas Doradas
- 28 September 2026Deportivo Cali 2–0 Águilas DoradasPrimera A
- 29 January 2026Águilas Doradas 2–1 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
- 28 September 2025Águilas Doradas 3–1 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
- 12 April 2025Deportivo Cali 0–0 Águilas DoradasPrimera A
- 14 October 2024Águilas Doradas 1–1 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
- 1 April 2024Deportivo Cali 2–4 Águilas DoradasPrimera A
Leading scorers: Deportivo Cali and Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Cali
GoalsAssists
- S. Rodríguez103
Águilas Doradas
GoalsAssists
- Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto110
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.