Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe Primera A prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo Pereira 1-2 Santa Fe.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Deportivo Pereira, 31% draw, 42% Santa Fe — fair odds of 3.70, 3.23 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Santa Fe at 42% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe
Line-ups
- 1Yimy GómezG
- 21W. PachecoD
- 2S. UrreaD
- 6D. OrtizD
- 23T. BovoneD
- 5J. BermúdezM
- 20J. MonroyM
- 10S. AcostaM
- 37L. MorenoM
- 11J. LargachaM
- 18M. PérezF
- 17R. RenteríaD
- 19M. AguirreM
- 12J. BetancourthG
- 29M. DiazF
- 26J. MontoyaM
- 14Ederson MorenoM
- 8Felipe MosqueraF
- 24M. PalaciosM
- 7Á. PlataF
- 1A. MosqueraG
- 13H. PalaciosD
- 18E. OliveraD
- 3V. MorenoD
- 32C. MaflaD
- 77J. ObrianM
- 6K. ToscanoM
- 7J. TorresM
- 14L. PalaciosM
- 19N. BustosF
- 9F. FagúndezF
- 10A. ZapataM
- 24Jeison AnguloD
- 12W. AsprillaG
- 17M. LoveraF
- 21E. MurilloM
- 39Cristhian PortocarreroM
- 11H. RodallegaF
- 15I. ScarpetaD
- 36Jhon TenorioF
Form going into Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe
Deportivo Pereira
- D0-0Internacional de Bogota26 September 2026
Santa Fe
- L0-1Deportivo Cali23 September 2026
- W4-1away to Alianza Valledupar19 September 2026
- W1-0Deportes Tolima12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 10 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe
- 29 September 2026Deportivo Pereira 1–2 Santa FePrimera A
- 28 January 2026Santa Fe 2–2 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
- 13 July 2025Deportivo Pereira 2–2 Santa FePrimera A
- 26 January 2025Santa Fe 2–1 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
- 4 October 2024Santa Fe 1–1 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
- 18 February 2024Deportivo Pereira 1–0 Santa FePrimera A
Leading scorers: Deportivo Pereira and Santa Fe
Deportivo Pereira
No player in Primera A's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Santa Fe
GoalsAssists
- H. Rodallega142
- N. Bustos115
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.