Enppi
vs
El Mokawloon
Premier League prediction
Our model says: Enppi 0–1 El Mokawloon
The model makes it 33% Enppi, 29% draw, 38% El Mokawloon — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Enppi 1.20, El Mokawloon 1.32.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.
Model confidence: Low.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Enppi are 17th on 4 points from 6 games; El Mokawloon are 8th on 8 points from 6 games — Premier League.
- Enppi have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Future FC.
- El Mokawloon are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Masr.
- Last 6 meetings: Enppi 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 12 January 2026, ended Enppi 1–2 El Mokawloon.
More Egyptian Premier League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Enppi vs El Mokawloon
Has the model earned this number?
It puts El Mokawloon at 38% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Enppi vs El Mokawloon
Enppi
- L2-3away to Future FC12 October 2026
- L1-2Pyramids FC17 September 2026
- W2-1Masr9 September 2026
- D0-0away to Ghazl El Mehalla1 September 2026
- L1-3Wadi Degla28 August 2026
El Mokawloon
- D1-1Masr12 October 2026
- W2-0away to Wadi Degla15 September 2026
- D1-1Al Ahly9 September 2026
- W1-0away to El Gouna FC2 September 2026
- L2-3Al Masry27 August 2026
What these results say
- Enppi failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Enppi scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Enppi conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- El Mokawloon scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for El Mokawloon had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Enppi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | El Mokawloon | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Enppi
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 20% today
El Mokawloon
Chance to finish in the top four · 9% today
From our Premier League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Enppi vs El Mokawloon
- 12 January 2026Enppi 1–2 El MokawloonLeague Cup
- 30 November 2025Enppi 1–0 El MokawloonCup
- 17 October 2025El Mokawloon 1–1 EnppiPremier League
- 2 July 2024Enppi 2–2 El MokawloonPremier League
- 14 February 2024El Mokawloon 0–1 EnppiPremier League
- 9 April 2023Enppi 2–1 El MokawloonPremier League
Leading scorers: Enppi and El Mokawloon
Enppi
GoalsAssists
- Kahraba21
- Hamed Abdallah20
El Mokawloon
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Enppi carry a model rating of 6.32 against 6.39 for El Mokawloon. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.20 goals for Enppi and 1.32 for El Mokawloon. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Enppi rate 0.69 in attack and 2.03 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; El Mokawloon rate 0.61 and 1.54.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Enppi a 0% chance of the title and El Mokawloon 0.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives El Mokawloon the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.20 expected goals for Enppi against 1.32 for El Mokawloon. Enppi's attack/defence rating is 0.69/2.03 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/1.54 for El Mokawloon.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Enppi at home · El Mokawloon away
League matches only, Premier League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier League matches this season: Enppi 6, El Mokawloon 6.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Enppi
- at Olympic El Qanah30 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 33%
- vs Ceramica Cleopatra25 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 29%
- at Al Ittihad Alexandria8 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 30%
- vs El Geish16 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 42%
- at Asyut Petrol22 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 39%
El Mokawloon
- at Zamalek SC28 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 23%
- vs Olympic El Qanah25 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 38%
- at Ceramica Cleopatra8 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 29%
- vs Future FC16 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 37%
- at Ghazl El Mehalla22 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 42%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.