Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Hassania Agadir 1-2 Maghreb Fès.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Hassania Agadir, 31% draw, 41% Maghreb Fès — fair odds of 3.57, 3.23 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Maghreb Fès at 41% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès
Hassania Agadir
- W3-2away to Kawkab Marrakech27 September 2026
Maghreb Fès
- W2-1CR Khemis Zemamra27 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hassania Agadir | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 | Maghreb Fès | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb Fès
- 3 October 2026Hassania Agadir 1–2 Maghreb FèsBotola Pro
- 29 April 2026Maghreb Fès 4–0 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
- 20 September 2025Hassania Agadir 0–2 Maghreb FèsBotola Pro
- 19 January 2025Hassania Agadir 2–2 Maghreb FèsBotola Pro
- 27 September 2024Maghreb Fès 1–0 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
- 27 May 2024Maghreb Fès 2–2 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro