Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Ittihad Tanger 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Ittihad Tanger, 33% draw, 31% Moghreb Tetouan — fair odds of 2.78, 3.03 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ittihad Tanger at 36% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan
Ittihad Tanger
- W3-1away to Amal Tiznit24 September 2026
Moghreb Tetouan
- D0-0Renaissance Berkane27 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ittihad Tanger | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 7 |
| 12 | Moghreb Tetouan | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan
- 2 October 2026Ittihad Tanger 1–1 Moghreb TetouanBotola Pro
- 14 April 2025Moghreb Tetouan 2–1 Ittihad TangerBotola Pro
- 23 November 2024Ittihad Tanger 1–2 Moghreb TetouanBotola Pro
- 14 April 2024Moghreb Tetouan 1–1 Ittihad TangerBotola Pro
- 26 November 2023Ittihad Tanger 1–1 Moghreb TetouanBotola Pro
- 21 February 2023Ittihad Tanger 2–0 Moghreb TetouanBotola Pro