Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Atletico Tucuman 2-3 Barracas Central.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Atletico Tucuman, 36% draw, 28% Barracas Central — fair odds of 2.78, 2.78 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atletico Tucuman at 36% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central
Line-ups
- 1L. IngolottiG
- 24L. Di PlácidoD
- 6G. FerrariD
- 36Luciano VallejoD
- 21I. GalvánD
- 19L. VegaM
- 11R. TesuriM
- 31L. GodoyM
- 10F. NicolaM
- 23N. LaméndolaM
- 18R. Ruíz RodríguezF
- 17J. RodríguezD
- 22F. PimientaF
- 4Tomas JungM
- 30M. BrondoF
- 3M. VillaD
- 28G. CompagnucciD
- 25T. DursoG
- 5J. FernándezM
- 27R. GranilloF
- 30M. MiñoG
- 13R. BarriosD
- 14K. JappertD
- 15Y. RakD
- 31N. DemartiniD
- 17E. PereyraD
- 28R. BogarínM
- 5D. MilocM
- 10I. TapiaM
- 77F. BrueraF
- 11N. BriascoF
- 4D. MartínezD
- 36Tomas LavezziF
- 6R. InsúaD
- 16Ivan GuarazM
- 1J. EspínolaG
- 2N. CapraroD
- 20J. CandiaF
- 37G. CampiD
- 35E. RolónM
Form going into Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central
Atletico Tucuman
- L0-1away to Aldosivi21 September 2026
- L1-2River Plate12 September 2026
- W2-1away to Racing Club7 September 2026
Barracas Central
- L0-1Independiente Rivadavia21 September 2026
- D1-1away to Banfield14 September 2026
- D0-0Argentinos Juniors7 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central
- 3 October 2026Atletico Tucuman 2–3 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 16 March 2026Barracas Central 2–1 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 29 July 2024Barracas Central 0–2 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 12 February 2024Barracas Central 2–0 Atletico TucumanCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 16 September 2023Atletico Tucuman 1–0 Barracas CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 19 March 2023Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Atletico Tucuman and Barracas Central
Atletico Tucuman
GoalsAssists
- L. Díaz71
Barracas Central
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.