Newell's Old Boys vs Lanus Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Newell's Old Boys 0-0 Lanus.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Newell's Old Boys, 32% draw, 34% Lanus — fair odds of 2.94, 3.13 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Newell's Old Boys at 34% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Newell's Old Boys vs Lanus
Line-ups
- 30J. ReinattiG
- 6M. OrtegaD
- 17L. GianettiD
- 16L. CarrizoD
- 28J. RussoD
- 26R. HerreraM
- 5L. RegiardoM
- 7W. MazzanttiM
- 20Facundo GauchM
- 32S. SolariM
- 9M. CóccaroF
- 24F. EscobarD
- 25B. CabreraD
- 27L. GómezM
- 19J. MattarM
- 4A. MonteroM
- 33W. NúñezF
- 99I. RamírezF
- 39T. RiosF
- 22O. SalomónD
- 26N. LosadaG
- 33T. GuidaraD
- 24C. IzquierdozD
- 35R. De JesúsD
- 6S. MarcichD
- 17A. MedinaM
- 30A. CardozoM
- 77L. BesozziM
- 8F. WatsonM
- 11E. SalvioM
- 20A. WlkF
- 39T. LaplaceM
- 15R. LoaizaM
- 42G. LobosF
- 40Tomás LópezD
- 10M. MorenoM
- 3N. MorgantiniD
- 1F. PetroliG
- 4G. PérezD
- 43Mateo Emanuel RamirezD
Form going into Newell's Old Boys vs Lanus
Newell's Old Boys
- W1-0away to Platense20 September 2026
- D1-1Velez Sarsfield11 September 2026
- D1-1away to Rosario Central6 September 2026
Lanus
- W2-1Estudiantes La Plata22 September 2026
- W3-0away to Deportivo Riestra14 September 2026
- W1-0Defensa Y Justicia6 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 17 |
| 5 | Lanus | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Newell's Old Boys vs Lanus
- 3 October 2026Newell's Old Boys 0–0 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
- 17 March 2026Lanus 5–0 Newell's Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina
- 5 October 2024Newell's Old Boys 2–1 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
- 31 January 2024Lanus 0–2 Newell's Old BoysCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 26 August 2023Newell's Old Boys 1–0 LanusCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 21 May 2023Lanus 1–0 Newell's Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Newell's Old Boys and Lanus
Newell's Old Boys
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Lanus
GoalsAssists
- D. Aquino62
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.