Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Atletico Goianiense 2-0 America Mineiro.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Atletico Goianiense, 26% draw, 17% America Mineiro — fair odds of 1.75, 3.85 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atletico Goianiense at 57% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro
Line-ups
- 1Paulo VítorG
- 2EwerthonD
- 3J. BarretoD
- 4Adriano MartinsD
- 6Guilherme LopesD
- 8NetinhoM
- 5PeixotoM
- 7Soares GeovanyM
- 10MarronyM
- 11Gustavo MaiaM
- 9Gustavo CoutinhoF
- 16YuriD
- 19Henrique Freitas AlvesM
- 14GebsonD
- 20Guilherme MarquesM
- 17CristianoM
- 21MatheusinhoM
- 18João PedroF
- 15NatãD
- 22Bruno JoséM
- 19WilliamG
- 31Fábio AlmeidaD
- 4Rafael BarcelosD
- 3L. SosaD
- 30L. MontesD
- 88BarretoM
- 13HeitorM
- 20Paulo VictorM
- 77M. SegoviaM
- 7Guilherme ParedeM
- 9WillianF
- 71Cristian Do Espirito Santo RodriguesD
- 26ManoelD
- 32FilipeD
- 25T. OstchegaD
- 27CássioG
- 99Marcelo MacolaF
- 37Cesar Leme Do Nascimento JulioM
- 45Ricardo SilvaD
- 8Felipe AmaralM
Form going into Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
- W1-0away to Goias26 September 2026
- L0-1away to São Bernardo19 September 2026
America Mineiro
- L0-1Juventude28 September 2026
- L0-1away to Vila Nova18 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 31 | +10 | 53 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 54 | -33 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro
- 3 October 2026Atletico Goianiense 2–0 America MineiroSerie B
- 8 June 2026America Mineiro 1–2 Atletico GoianienseSerie B
- 26 September 2025Atletico Goianiense 1–0 America MineiroSerie B
- 27 May 2025America Mineiro 2–1 Atletico GoianienseSerie B
- 13 November 2022America Mineiro 1–1 Atletico GoianienseSerie A
- 24 July 2022Atletico Goianiense 0–1 America MineiroSerie A
Leading scorers: Atletico Goianiense and America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
GoalsAssists
- Gustavo Coutinho130
America Mineiro
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 21 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.