Club Guarani vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo Division Profesional - Clausura prediction & result
Final score: Club Guarani 1-1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% Club Guarani, 26% draw, 14% Club Sp. San Lorenzo — fair odds of 1.67, 3.85 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Paraguayan Primera División Clausura predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Club Guarani at 60% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Club Guarani vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Line-ups
- 31M. MartínezG
- 4A. MéndezD
- 2I. SegoviaD
- 15T. ServínD
- 33L. AllendeD
- 36L. MartínezM
- 34M. MaldonadoM
- 21C. ArrúaM
- 29F. LlanoM
- 26D. FernándezM
- 11J. GarcíaF
- 38P. CoroneF
- 17V. CéspedesF
- 12G. DionisiG
- 40F. FernándezF
- 25G. GómezM
- 23M. JacquetD
- 20R. QuinonezF
- 9J. RecaldeM
- 14R. RodríguezD
- 12W. QuiñónezG
- 2L. EstecheD
- 19Luis Fernando Cáceres MacielD
- 4A. DoldánD
- 20D. Meza MontielD
- 28P. GerzelM
- 32F. AragónM
- 21H. GonzalezM
- 18A. ÁlvarezM
- 23M. FerreiraF
- 7S. SalcedoF
- 13Isaias FretesF
- 31L. FrancoG
- 25K. FernándezM
- 26Amin Duarte Gonzalez JoseM
- 35C. ColmánF
- 16Á. BenítezM
- 9J. BarriosF
- 5T. ParedesD
- 15B. PiñataresM
Form going into Club Guarani vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Club Guarani
- W1-0away to Sportivo Luqueno25 September 2026
- W1-0away to Sportivo Trinidense18 September 2026
- D1-1Cerro Porteno12 September 2026
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
- D0-0Deportivo Recoleta28 September 2026
- L0-3Olimpia20 September 2026
- L0-1away to Sportivo Ameliano11 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Division Profesional - Clausura table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Club Guarani | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Club Guarani vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
- 3 October 2026Club Guarani 1–1 Club Sp. San LorenzoDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 30 July 2026Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 10 April 2026Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–0 Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 13 February 2026Club Guarani 3–1 Club Sp. San LorenzoDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 16 November 2020Club Guarani 2–1 Club Sp. San LorenzoDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 9 August 2020Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Apertura
Leading scorers: Club Guarani and Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Club Guarani
GoalsAssists
- S. Zaracho31
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
No player in Division Profesional - Clausura's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.